Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 88% chance against an ECB rate cut in 2026, reflecting hawkish signals from the Governing Council amid surging eurozone HICP inflation reaching 3.0% in April—its highest since 2023—driven by energy price spikes from the Iran war. The ECB held its deposit facility rate steady at 2.00% in its April 30 meeting, with President Lagarde highlighting intensified upside inflation risks and debating potential hikes, while upgrading its 2026 inflation forecast to 2.6%. Recent Bloomberg and IMF surveys anticipate two rate increases this year, solidifying expectations of sustained restrictive monetary policy; upcoming May CPI data and the June 11 decision could further influence sentiment, though weak Q1 GDP tempers aggressive tightening bets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$27,913 交易量
$27,913 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$27,913 交易量
$27,913 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 88% chance against an ECB rate cut in 2026, reflecting hawkish signals from the Governing Council amid surging eurozone HICP inflation reaching 3.0% in April—its highest since 2023—driven by energy price spikes from the Iran war. The ECB held its deposit facility rate steady at 2.00% in its April 30 meeting, with President Lagarde highlighting intensified upside inflation risks and debating potential hikes, while upgrading its 2026 inflation forecast to 2.6%. Recent Bloomberg and IMF surveys anticipate two rate increases this year, solidifying expectations of sustained restrictive monetary policy; upcoming May CPI data and the June 11 decision could further influence sentiment, though weak Q1 GDP tempers aggressive tightening bets.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ET
交易量
$27,913结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 88% chance against an ECB rate cut in 2026, reflecting hawkish signals from the Governing Council amid surging eurozone HICP inflation reaching 3.0% in April—its highest since 2023—driven by energy price spikes from the Iran war. The ECB held its deposit facility rate steady at 2.00% in its April 30 meeting, with President Lagarde highlighting intensified upside inflation risks and debating potential hikes, while upgrading its 2026 inflation forecast to 2.6%. Recent Bloomberg and IMF surveys anticipate two rate increases this year, solidifying expectations of sustained restrictive monetary policy; upcoming May CPI data and the June 11 decision could further influence sentiment, though weak Q1 GDP tempers aggressive tightening bets.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$27,913结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 88% chance against an ECB rate cut in 2026, reflecting hawkish signals from the Governing Council amid surging eurozone HICP inflation reaching 3.0% in April—its highest since 2023—driven by energy price spikes from the Iran war. The ECB held its deposit facility rate steady at 2.00% in its April 30 meeting, with President Lagarde highlighting intensified upside inflation risks and debating potential hikes, while upgrading its 2026 inflation forecast to 2.6%. Recent Bloomberg and IMF surveys anticipate two rate increases this year, solidifying expectations of sustained restrictive monetary policy; upcoming May CPI data and the June 11 decision could further influence sentiment, though weak Q1 GDP tempers aggressive tightening bets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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