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icon for 2027年之前的伊隆·马斯克亿万富翁?

2027年之前的伊隆·马斯克亿万富翁?

icon for 2027年之前的伊隆·马斯克亿万富翁?

2027年之前的伊隆·马斯克亿万富翁?

12月 31

12月 31

88% 概率
Polymarket

$463,740 交易量

88% 概率
Polymarket

$463,740 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk's net worth, as listed on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, reaches or exceeds $1 trillion at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Recent SpaceX-xAI merger valued at $1.25 trillion has propelled Elon Musk’s net worth near $800 billion, anchoring trader consensus at 88% implied probability for trillionaire status before 2027. Tesla’s full self-driving software updates and robotaxi fleet ambitions continue driving autonomous vehicle adoption metrics, while SpaceX’s planned IPO later this year offers another valuation catalyst tied to Starship progress and satellite constellation expansion. These developments reflect Musk’s control of high-growth platforms in electric vehicles, artificial intelligence via xAI, and space infrastructure, where modest further gains in market caps or private valuations could close the gap. Key near-term milestones include Tesla’s next earnings cycle and regulatory approvals for expanded robotaxi operations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk's net worth, as listed on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, reaches or exceeds $1 trillion at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$463,740
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Dec 5, 2025, 3:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk's net worth, as listed on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, reaches or exceeds $1 trillion at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk's net worth, as listed on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, reaches or exceeds $1 trillion at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Recent SpaceX-xAI merger valued at $1.25 trillion has propelled Elon Musk’s net worth near $800 billion, anchoring trader consensus at 88% implied probability for trillionaire status before 2027. Tesla’s full self-driving software updates and robotaxi fleet ambitions continue driving autonomous vehicle adoption metrics, while SpaceX’s planned IPO later this year offers another valuation catalyst tied to Starship progress and satellite constellation expansion. These developments reflect Musk’s control of high-growth platforms in electric vehicles, artificial intelligence via xAI, and space infrastructure, where modest further gains in market caps or private valuations could close the gap. Key near-term milestones include Tesla’s next earnings cycle and regulatory approvals for expanded robotaxi operations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk's net worth, as listed on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, reaches or exceeds $1 trillion at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$463,740
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Dec 5, 2025, 3:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk's net worth, as listed on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, reaches or exceeds $1 trillion at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"2027年之前的伊隆·马斯克亿万富翁?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"埃隆·马斯克会在2027年前成为万亿美元富翁吗?",概率为 88%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 88¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 88%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"2027年之前的伊隆·马斯克亿万富翁?"已产生 $463.7K 的总交易量(自Dec 5, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"2027年之前的伊隆·马斯克亿万富翁?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2027年之前的伊隆·马斯克亿万富翁?"的当前领先者是"埃隆·马斯克会在2027年前成为万亿美元富翁吗?",概率为 88%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 88%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2027年之前的伊隆·马斯克亿万富翁?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。