xAI released Grok 4.6 on August 12, 2026, shortly after Grok 4.5 in mid-July, continuing its rapid iteration cadence on the 1.5-trillion-parameter V9 foundation. The update emphasizes improvements in long-running agents, multi-step reasoning, interactive workflows, and visual tasks through enhanced supervised fine-tuning and reinforcement learning, while maintaining the prior model's speed and efficiency. It targets competitive positioning against models like Claude Opus 4.8 and Moonshot's Kimi K3, with immediate availability via the xAI API, Cursor, and Grok Build at $2/$6 per million input/output tokens. A larger 2.1T Grok 4.7 is expected weeks later, reflecting xAI's focus on agentic capabilities amid the broader frontier AI race. Traders should watch for any last-minute rollout adjustments or benchmark updates that could influence resolution criteria.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$263,091 交易量
2026-08-11
8月7日
否
8月11日
否
8 月 12 日
是
8月13日
是
8月14日
是
8 月 21 日
是
$263,091 交易量
8月7日
$33,218 交易量
否
8月11日
$17,875 交易量
否
8 月 12 日
$52,641 交易量
是
8月13日
$36,445 交易量
是
8月14日
$68,270 交易量
是
8 月 21 日
$54,643 交易量
是
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceXAI's Grok 4.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Grok 4.6 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.5, similar to the progression from Grok 4.4 to Grok 4.5 (e.g., Grok 4.6, Grok 4.75, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.xAI released Grok 4.6 on August 12, 2026, shortly after Grok 4.5 in mid-July, continuing its rapid iteration cadence on the 1.5-trillion-parameter V9 foundation. The update emphasizes improvements in long-running agents, multi-step reasoning, interactive workflows, and visual tasks through enhanced supervised fine-tuning and reinforcement learning, while maintaining the prior model's speed and efficiency. It targets competitive positioning against models like Claude Opus 4.8 and Moonshot's Kimi K3, with immediate availability via the xAI API, Cursor, and Grok Build at $2/$6 per million input/output tokens. A larger 2.1T Grok 4.7 is expected weeks later, reflecting xAI's focus on agentic capabilities amid the broader frontier AI race. Traders should watch for any last-minute rollout adjustments or benchmark updates that could influence resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceXAI's Grok 4.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Grok 4.6 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.5, similar to the progression from Grok 4.4 to Grok 4.5 (e.g., Grok 4.6, Grok 4.75, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Grok 4.6 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.5, similar to the progression from Grok 4.4 to Grok 4.5 (e.g., Grok 4.6, Grok 4.75, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Aug 10, 2026, 10:21 AM ET
交易量
$263,091结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 10:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceXAI's Grok 4.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Grok 4.6 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.5, similar to the progression from Grok 4.4 to Grok 4.5 (e.g., Grok 4.6, Grok 4.75, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.xAI released Grok 4.6 on August 12, 2026, shortly after Grok 4.5 in mid-July, continuing its rapid iteration cadence on the 1.5-trillion-parameter V9 foundation. The update emphasizes improvements in long-running agents, multi-step reasoning, interactive workflows, and visual tasks through enhanced supervised fine-tuning and reinforcement learning, while maintaining the prior model's speed and efficiency. It targets competitive positioning against models like Claude Opus 4.8 and Moonshot's Kimi K3, with immediate availability via the xAI API, Cursor, and Grok Build at $2/$6 per million input/output tokens. A larger 2.1T Grok 4.7 is expected weeks later, reflecting xAI's focus on agentic capabilities amid the broader frontier AI race. Traders should watch for any last-minute rollout adjustments or benchmark updates that could influence resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceXAI's Grok 4.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Grok 4.6 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.5, similar to the progression from Grok 4.4 to Grok 4.5 (e.g., Grok 4.6, Grok 4.75, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Grok 4.6 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.5, similar to the progression from Grok 4.4 to Grok 4.5 (e.g., Grok 4.6, Grok 4.75, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$263,091结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 10:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
xAI released Grok 4.6 on August 12, 2026, shortly after Grok 4.5 in mid-July, continuing its rapid iteration cadence on the 1.5-trillion-parameter V9 foundation. The update emphasizes improvements in long-running agents, multi-step reasoning, interactive workflows, and visual tasks through enhanced supervised fine-tuning and reinforcement learning, while maintaining the prior model's speed and efficiency. It targets competitive positioning against models like Claude Opus 4.8 and Moonshot's Kimi K3, with immediate availability via the xAI API, Cursor, and Grok Build at $2/$6 per million input/output tokens. A larger 2.1T Grok 4.7 is expected weeks later, reflecting xAI's focus on agentic capabilities amid the broader frontier AI race. Traders should watch for any last-minute rollout adjustments or benchmark updates that could influence resolution criteria.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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