Guinea-Bissau’s December 2026 presidential election occurs amid a fragile post-coup transition following the military’s November 2025 intervention that halted vote tabulation in the prior contest between Fernando Dias da Costa and incumbent Umaro Sissoco Embaló. Both sides had claimed victory before official results could be certified, after which the junta installed a transitional government under Horta Inta-A Na Man and scheduled new polls for December. The fragmented field reflects ongoing restrictions on major parties such as PAIGC, unresolved detentions of opposition figures, and the absence of consolidated polling data. Trader consensus remains dispersed because no candidate has secured broad alliances or clear momentum under the transitional charter, while ECOWAS and AU engagement continues to emphasize inclusive preparations ahead of the December vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election
Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election
Fernando Dias da Costa 30.1%
Siga Batista 9.0%
Umaro Sissoco Embaló 4.3%
Honório Augusto Lopes 3.5%
$327,777 交易量
$327,777 交易量
Fernando Dias da Costa
16%
Siga Batista
9%
Umaro Sissoco Embaló
4%
Honório Augusto Lopes
3%
João de Deus Mendes
3%
Baciro Djá
3%
Gabriel Fernando Indi
3%
João Bernardo Vieira
2%
Mário da Silva Júnior
2%
Herculano Armando Bequinsa
2%
Mamadu Iaia Djaló
<1%
José Mário Vaz
<1%
Fernando Dias da Costa 30.1%
Siga Batista 9.0%
Umaro Sissoco Embaló 4.3%
Honório Augusto Lopes 3.5%
$327,777 交易量
$327,777 交易量
Fernando Dias da Costa
16%
Siga Batista
9%
Umaro Sissoco Embaló
4%
Honório Augusto Lopes
3%
João de Deus Mendes
3%
Baciro Djá
3%
Gabriel Fernando Indi
3%
João Bernardo Vieira
2%
Mário da Silva Júnior
2%
Herculano Armando Bequinsa
2%
Mamadu Iaia Djaló
<1%
José Mário Vaz
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
市场开放时间： Nov 6, 2025, 6:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Guinea-Bissau’s December 2026 presidential election occurs amid a fragile post-coup transition following the military’s November 2025 intervention that halted vote tabulation in the prior contest between Fernando Dias da Costa and incumbent Umaro Sissoco Embaló. Both sides had claimed victory before official results could be certified, after which the junta installed a transitional government under Horta Inta-A Na Man and scheduled new polls for December. The fragmented field reflects ongoing restrictions on major parties such as PAIGC, unresolved detentions of opposition figures, and the absence of consolidated polling data. Trader consensus remains dispersed because no candidate has secured broad alliances or clear momentum under the transitional charter, while ECOWAS and AU engagement continues to emphasize inclusive preparations ahead of the December vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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