National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models currently favor a high near 100–101°F for Austin on August 15 under a persistent upper-level ridge that promotes subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime heating. Southerly flow continues advecting warm, moist air from the Gulf, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected to moderate temperatures. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 100–101°F bin at 51.5 percent, while the secondary 102–103°F outcome at 25 percent reflects residual model spread and recent days’ observed highs in the low 100s. Climatologically, mid-August normals sit near 98°F, so the ridge-driven anomaly underpins the elevated trader consensus. Updated short-range forecasts and any late-day convective development remain the key variables before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日奥斯汀的最高温度？
8月15日奥斯汀的最高温度？
100-101°F 52%
102-103°F 25%
98-99°F 16%
104-105°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
91°F或以下
<1%
92-93华氏度
1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
52%
102-103°F
25%
104-105°F
6%
106-107°F
2%
108-109华氏度
<1%
110°F或更高
<1%
100-101°F 52%
102-103°F 25%
98-99°F 16%
104-105°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
91°F或以下
$30 交易量
<1%
92-93华氏度
$82 交易量
1%
94-95°F
$157 交易量
2%
96-97°F
$538 交易量
4%
98-99°F
$335 交易量
16%
100-101°F
$691 交易量
52%
102-103°F
$65 交易量
25%
104-105°F
$82 交易量
6%
106-107°F
$54 交易量
2%
108-109华氏度
$158 交易量
<1%
110°F或更高
$327 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models currently favor a high near 100–101°F for Austin on August 15 under a persistent upper-level ridge that promotes subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime heating. Southerly flow continues advecting warm, moist air from the Gulf, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected to moderate temperatures. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 100–101°F bin at 51.5 percent, while the secondary 102–103°F outcome at 25 percent reflects residual model spread and recent days’ observed highs in the low 100s. Climatologically, mid-August normals sit near 98°F, so the ridge-driven anomaly underpins the elevated trader consensus. Updated short-range forecasts and any late-day convective development remain the key variables before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$2,518结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models currently favor a high near 100–101°F for Austin on August 15 under a persistent upper-level ridge that promotes subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime heating. Southerly flow continues advecting warm, moist air from the Gulf, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected to moderate temperatures. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 100–101°F bin at 51.5 percent, while the secondary 102–103°F outcome at 25 percent reflects residual model spread and recent days’ observed highs in the low 100s. Climatologically, mid-August normals sit near 98°F, so the ridge-driven anomaly underpins the elevated trader consensus. Updated short-range forecasts and any late-day convective development remain the key variables before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,518结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETNational Weather Service guidance and ensemble models currently favor a high near 100–101°F for Austin on August 15 under a persistent upper-level ridge that promotes subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime heating. Southerly flow continues advecting warm, moist air from the Gulf, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected to moderate temperatures. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 100–101°F bin at 51.5 percent, while the secondary 102–103°F outcome at 25 percent reflects residual model spread and recent days’ observed highs in the low 100s. Climatologically, mid-August normals sit near 98°F, so the ridge-driven anomaly underpins the elevated trader consensus. Updated short-range forecasts and any late-day convective development remain the key variables before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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