Latest meteorological forecasts for Beijing indicate a daily maximum near 19 °C under persistent overcast skies and periods of rain, driving the near-certain market consensus for this outcome. Numerical weather prediction models show consistent steering by a broad trough that limits warm-air advection, keeping surface temperatures aligned with seasonal normals for mid-May rather than the higher values sometimes seen in clear, subsiding air. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers emphasizes modest instability and northeasterly flow that further caps heating, with only minor ensemble spread around the 18–20 °C envelope. A sudden break in cloud cover or stronger southerly winds could briefly push readings to 20 °C, but current observational trends and model agreement make such a shift improbable before the daily maximum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日北京气温最高？
5月17日北京气温最高？
19°C 99.7%
20°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$100,615 交易量
$100,615 交易量
2026-05-17
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 99.7%
20°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$100,615 交易量
$100,615 交易量
2026-05-17
13°C or below
$533 交易量
<1%
14°C
$656 交易量
<1%
15°C
$1,780 交易量
<1%
16°C
$6,602 交易量
<1%
17°C
$8,798 交易量
<1%
18°C
$14,350 交易量
<1%
19°C
$27,709 交易量
100%
20°C
$16,134 交易量
<1%
21°C
$5,792 交易量
<1%
22°C
$8,030 交易量
<1%
23°C or higher
$10,905 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest meteorological forecasts for Beijing indicate a daily maximum near 19 °C under persistent overcast skies and periods of rain, driving the near-certain market consensus for this outcome. Numerical weather prediction models show consistent steering by a broad trough that limits warm-air advection, keeping surface temperatures aligned with seasonal normals for mid-May rather than the higher values sometimes seen in clear, subsiding air. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers emphasizes modest instability and northeasterly flow that further caps heating, with only minor ensemble spread around the 18–20 °C envelope. A sudden break in cloud cover or stronger southerly winds could briefly push readings to 20 °C, but current observational trends and model agreement make such a shift improbable before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$100,615结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest meteorological forecasts for Beijing indicate a daily maximum near 19 °C under persistent overcast skies and periods of rain, driving the near-certain market consensus for this outcome. Numerical weather prediction models show consistent steering by a broad trough that limits warm-air advection, keeping surface temperatures aligned with seasonal normals for mid-May rather than the higher values sometimes seen in clear, subsiding air. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers emphasizes modest instability and northeasterly flow that further caps heating, with only minor ensemble spread around the 18–20 °C envelope. A sudden break in cloud cover or stronger southerly winds could briefly push readings to 20 °C, but current observational trends and model agreement make such a shift improbable before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$100,615结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest meteorological forecasts for Beijing indicate a daily maximum near 19 °C under persistent overcast skies and periods of rain, driving the near-certain market consensus for this outcome. Numerical weather prediction models show consistent steering by a broad trough that limits warm-air advection, keeping surface temperatures aligned with seasonal normals for mid-May rather than the higher values sometimes seen in clear, subsiding air. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers emphasizes modest instability and northeasterly flow that further caps heating, with only minor ensemble spread around the 18–20 °C envelope. A sudden break in cloud cover or stronger southerly winds could briefly push readings to 20 °C, but current observational trends and model agreement make such a shift improbable before the daily maximum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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