Latest global forecast models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, place Beijing’s May 19 high near 25–27 °C under weak high-pressure ridging and light southerly flow that favors modest daytime warming. Ensemble spread remains modest because rapid nocturnal cooling and limited moisture advection constrain extremes, while historical mid-May averages of 24–26 °C anchor trader expectations. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing; any late-day sea-breeze intrusion or cloud cover could shave a degree, whereas clearer skies and stronger downslope warming could add one. Updated runs tomorrow morning will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月19日北京气温最高？
5月19日北京气温最高？
26°C 29%
25°C 20%
24°C 18%
27°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-05-19
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
18%
25°C
20%
26°C
29%
27°C
16%
28°C
7%
29°C
5%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 29%
25°C 20%
24°C 18%
27°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-05-19
21°C or below
$323 交易量
<1%
22°C
$532 交易量
2%
23°C
$137 交易量
4%
24°C
$167 交易量
18%
25°C
$53 交易量
20%
26°C
$10 交易量
29%
27°C
$0 交易量
16%
28°C
$0 交易量
7%
29°C
$51 交易量
5%
30°C
$33 交易量
<1%
31°C or higher
$6 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest global forecast models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, place Beijing’s May 19 high near 25–27 °C under weak high-pressure ridging and light southerly flow that favors modest daytime warming. Ensemble spread remains modest because rapid nocturnal cooling and limited moisture advection constrain extremes, while historical mid-May averages of 24–26 °C anchor trader expectations. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing; any late-day sea-breeze intrusion or cloud cover could shave a degree, whereas clearer skies and stronger downslope warming could add one. Updated runs tomorrow morning will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$1,312结束日期
2026-05-19市场开放时间
May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest global forecast models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, place Beijing’s May 19 high near 25–27 °C under weak high-pressure ridging and light southerly flow that favors modest daytime warming. Ensemble spread remains modest because rapid nocturnal cooling and limited moisture advection constrain extremes, while historical mid-May averages of 24–26 °C anchor trader expectations. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing; any late-day sea-breeze intrusion or cloud cover could shave a degree, whereas clearer skies and stronger downslope warming could add one. Updated runs tomorrow morning will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,312结束日期
2026-05-19市场开放时间
May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest global forecast models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, place Beijing’s May 19 high near 25–27 °C under weak high-pressure ridging and light southerly flow that favors modest daytime warming. Ensemble spread remains modest because rapid nocturnal cooling and limited moisture advection constrain extremes, while historical mid-May averages of 24–26 °C anchor trader expectations. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing; any late-day sea-breeze intrusion or cloud cover could shave a degree, whereas clearer skies and stronger downslope warming could add one. Updated runs tomorrow morning will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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