Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration place Busan under a warm, humid air mass influenced by the North Pacific High on August 15, with daytime maximum temperatures expected near 31–32°C amid partial cloud cover and scattered showers that limit peak heating. This consensus across regional models supports the market's near-certain positioning at 32°C by capping solar insolation and convective cooling. Historical August averages of 29–31°C provide context for the outcome, while resolution hinges on the official daily high recorded at the primary station. Stronger-than-expected clearing or a shift in steering patterns could push readings above 32°C, whereas intensified afternoon convection might hold the peak at or below 31°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日釜山气温最高？
8月15日釜山气温最高？
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$53,827 交易量
$53,827 交易量
2026-08-15
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C或更高
否
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$53,827 交易量
$53,827 交易量
2026-08-15
25°C or below
$309 交易量
No
26°C
$173 交易量
No
27°C
$1,302 交易量
No
28°C
$3,016 交易量
No
29°C
$3,209 交易量
No
30°C
$6,645 交易量
No
31°C
$8,214 交易量
No
32°C
$13,635 交易量
Yes
33°C
$7,819 交易量
No
34°C
$6,373 交易量
No
35°C或更高
$3,132 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration place Busan under a warm, humid air mass influenced by the North Pacific High on August 15, with daytime maximum temperatures expected near 31–32°C amid partial cloud cover and scattered showers that limit peak heating. This consensus across regional models supports the market's near-certain positioning at 32°C by capping solar insolation and convective cooling. Historical August averages of 29–31°C provide context for the outcome, while resolution hinges on the official daily high recorded at the primary station. Stronger-than-expected clearing or a shift in steering patterns could push readings above 32°C, whereas intensified afternoon convection might hold the peak at or below 31°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$53,827结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration place Busan under a warm, humid air mass influenced by the North Pacific High on August 15, with daytime maximum temperatures expected near 31–32°C amid partial cloud cover and scattered showers that limit peak heating. This consensus across regional models supports the market's near-certain positioning at 32°C by capping solar insolation and convective cooling. Historical August averages of 29–31°C provide context for the outcome, while resolution hinges on the official daily high recorded at the primary station. Stronger-than-expected clearing or a shift in steering patterns could push readings above 32°C, whereas intensified afternoon convection might hold the peak at or below 31°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$53,827结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration place Busan under a warm, humid air mass influenced by the North Pacific High on August 15, with daytime maximum temperatures expected near 31–32°C amid partial cloud cover and scattered showers that limit peak heating. This consensus across regional models supports the market's near-certain positioning at 32°C by capping solar insolation and convective cooling. Historical August averages of 29–31°C provide context for the outcome, while resolution hinges on the official daily high recorded at the primary station. Stronger-than-expected clearing or a shift in steering patterns could push readings above 32°C, whereas intensified afternoon convection might hold the peak at or below 31°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题