Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Busan's daytime high temperature reached exactly 27°C on May 15 under clear skies dominated by a stable high-pressure ridge, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Short-range KMA forecast models precisely anticipated this peak through mid-afternoon diurnal warming, moderated by Busan's coastal sea breeze effect that typically caps spring highs around 23–25°C averages for mid-May climatology. Current evening readings show cooling trends with light northerly winds and low humidity around 35%, aligning with historical patterns under similar synoptic conditions. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-afternoon heat burst or measurement revision from Gimhae station data, though improbable as the resolution window nears closure with final KMA daily summaries imminent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Busan on May 15?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 15?
27°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$61,443 交易量
$61,443 交易量
2026-05-15
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$61,443 交易量
$61,443 交易量
2026-05-15
19°C or below
$3,424 交易量
No
20°C
$2,227 交易量
No
21°C
$4,482 交易量
No
22°C
$3,243 交易量
No
23°C
$4,515 交易量
No
24°C
$10,711 交易量
No
25°C
$5,574 交易量
No
26°C
$4,398 交易量
No
27°C
$7,313 交易量
Yes
28°C
$9,250 交易量
No
29°C or higher
$6,306 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Busan's daytime high temperature reached exactly 27°C on May 15 under clear skies dominated by a stable high-pressure ridge, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Short-range KMA forecast models precisely anticipated this peak through mid-afternoon diurnal warming, moderated by Busan's coastal sea breeze effect that typically caps spring highs around 23–25°C averages for mid-May climatology. Current evening readings show cooling trends with light northerly winds and low humidity around 35%, aligning with historical patterns under similar synoptic conditions. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-afternoon heat burst or measurement revision from Gimhae station data, though improbable as the resolution window nears closure with final KMA daily summaries imminent.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
交易量
$61,443结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:43 AM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Busan's daytime high temperature reached exactly 27°C on May 15 under clear skies dominated by a stable high-pressure ridge, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Short-range KMA forecast models precisely anticipated this peak through mid-afternoon diurnal warming, moderated by Busan's coastal sea breeze effect that typically caps spring highs around 23–25°C averages for mid-May climatology. Current evening readings show cooling trends with light northerly winds and low humidity around 35%, aligning with historical patterns under similar synoptic conditions. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-afternoon heat burst or measurement revision from Gimhae station data, though improbable as the resolution window nears closure with final KMA daily summaries imminent.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$61,443结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:43 AM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Busan's daytime high temperature reached exactly 27°C on May 15 under clear skies dominated by a stable high-pressure ridge, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Short-range KMA forecast models precisely anticipated this peak through mid-afternoon diurnal warming, moderated by Busan's coastal sea breeze effect that typically caps spring highs around 23–25°C averages for mid-May climatology. Current evening readings show cooling trends with light northerly winds and low humidity around 35%, aligning with historical patterns under similar synoptic conditions. Realistic challenges would require an anomalous late-afternoon heat burst or measurement revision from Gimhae station data, though improbable as the resolution window nears closure with final KMA daily summaries imminent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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