The market-implied odds of 100% on 30°C as Busan’s highest temperature today reflect the latest consensus from regional forecast models, which project peak daytime readings reaching that exact threshold under prevailing high-pressure conditions and moderate southerly flow. Official monitoring by the Korea Meteorological Administration shows surface temperatures climbing steadily through morning hours, aligning with historical May averages for the area while remaining below thresholds for stronger warming. This positioning rests on verified observational trends rather than longer-range projections. A realistic challenge could arise from localized sea-breeze effects or an earlier-than-expected cloud cover increase that caps the maximum below 30°C, or conversely from brief clear-sky bursts pushing readings higher before sunset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日釜山气温最高?
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$48,709 交易量
$48,709 交易量
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$48,709 交易量
$48,709 交易量
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The market-implied odds of 100% on 30°C as Busan’s highest temperature today reflect the latest consensus from regional forecast models, which project peak daytime readings reaching that exact threshold under prevailing high-pressure conditions and moderate southerly flow. Official monitoring by the Korea Meteorological Administration shows surface temperatures climbing steadily through morning hours, aligning with historical May averages for the area while remaining below thresholds for stronger warming. This positioning rests on verified observational trends rather than longer-range projections. A realistic challenge could arise from localized sea-breeze effects or an earlier-than-expected cloud cover increase that caps the maximum below 30°C, or conversely from brief clear-sky bursts pushing readings higher before sunset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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