Numerical weather prediction ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration have converged on a daily maximum of 31°C in Chengdu today, driving the market-implied probability for that outcome to 100 percent. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan basin is promoting clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and reduced cloud cover that enhances daytime heating well above the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C. Lingering low-level moisture introduces minor uncertainty in afternoon observations, yet current model consensus keeps probabilities for 32°C or higher below 1 percent. Traders are now focused on the final official readings from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport before resolution, where any last-minute shift in steering flow could still alter the exact peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日成都气温最高？
5月17日成都气温最高？
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$66,288 交易量
$66,288 交易量
2026-05-17
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$66,288 交易量
$66,288 交易量
2026-05-17
23°C or below
$1,364 交易量
<1%
24°C
$1,745 交易量
<1%
25°C
$3,055 交易量
<1%
26°C
$5,042 交易量
<1%
27°C
$5,961 交易量
<1%
28°C
$6,250 交易量
<1%
29°C
$6,422 交易量
<1%
30°C
$9,437 交易量
<1%
31°C
$11,284 交易量
100%
32°C
$8,815 交易量
<1%
33°C or higher
$6,933 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Numerical weather prediction ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration have converged on a daily maximum of 31°C in Chengdu today, driving the market-implied probability for that outcome to 100 percent. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan basin is promoting clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and reduced cloud cover that enhances daytime heating well above the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C. Lingering low-level moisture introduces minor uncertainty in afternoon observations, yet current model consensus keeps probabilities for 32°C or higher below 1 percent. Traders are now focused on the final official readings from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport before resolution, where any last-minute shift in steering flow could still alter the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$66,288结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Numerical weather prediction ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration have converged on a daily maximum of 31°C in Chengdu today, driving the market-implied probability for that outcome to 100 percent. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan basin is promoting clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and reduced cloud cover that enhances daytime heating well above the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C. Lingering low-level moisture introduces minor uncertainty in afternoon observations, yet current model consensus keeps probabilities for 32°C or higher below 1 percent. Traders are now focused on the final official readings from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport before resolution, where any last-minute shift in steering flow could still alter the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$66,288结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNumerical weather prediction ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration have converged on a daily maximum of 31°C in Chengdu today, driving the market-implied probability for that outcome to 100 percent. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan basin is promoting clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and reduced cloud cover that enhances daytime heating well above the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C. Lingering low-level moisture introduces minor uncertainty in afternoon observations, yet current model consensus keeps probabilities for 32°C or higher below 1 percent. Traders are now focused on the final official readings from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport before resolution, where any last-minute shift in steering flow could still alter the exact peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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