Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration place Chengdu’s May 19 maximum temperature in a narrow 29–32 °C band, directly explaining why the market’s leading outcomes at 30 °C, 31 °C, and 32 °C trade within a few percentage points of one another. A building subtropical ridge over the Sichuan Basin favors clear skies and enhanced daytime heating above seasonal norms, while lingering low-level moisture and variable cloud cover create modest forecast spread. Traders are weighting the latest model runs against May climatology, where typical highs average 27–29 °C, and will closely monitor the next cycle of guidance for any shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer mixing before the observation window closes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月19日成都气温最高？
5月19日成都气温最高？
31°C 22%
32°C 19%
30°C 18%
29°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-05-19
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
7%
29°C
14%
30°C
18%
31°C
22%
32°C
19%
33°C
10%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 22%
32°C 19%
30°C 18%
29°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-05-19
25°C or below
$168 交易量
1%
26°C
$20 交易量
1%
27°C
$90 交易量
3%
28°C
$0 交易量
7%
29°C
$51 交易量
14%
30°C
$0 交易量
18%
31°C
$0 交易量
22%
32°C
$0 交易量
19%
33°C
$20 交易量
10%
34°C
$13 交易量
2%
35°C or higher
$110 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration place Chengdu’s May 19 maximum temperature in a narrow 29–32 °C band, directly explaining why the market’s leading outcomes at 30 °C, 31 °C, and 32 °C trade within a few percentage points of one another. A building subtropical ridge over the Sichuan Basin favors clear skies and enhanced daytime heating above seasonal norms, while lingering low-level moisture and variable cloud cover create modest forecast spread. Traders are weighting the latest model runs against May climatology, where typical highs average 27–29 °C, and will closely monitor the next cycle of guidance for any shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer mixing before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$471结束日期
2026-05-19市场开放时间
May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration place Chengdu’s May 19 maximum temperature in a narrow 29–32 °C band, directly explaining why the market’s leading outcomes at 30 °C, 31 °C, and 32 °C trade within a few percentage points of one another. A building subtropical ridge over the Sichuan Basin favors clear skies and enhanced daytime heating above seasonal norms, while lingering low-level moisture and variable cloud cover create modest forecast spread. Traders are weighting the latest model runs against May climatology, where typical highs average 27–29 °C, and will closely monitor the next cycle of guidance for any shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer mixing before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$471结束日期
2026-05-19市场开放时间
May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration place Chengdu’s May 19 maximum temperature in a narrow 29–32 °C band, directly explaining why the market’s leading outcomes at 30 °C, 31 °C, and 32 °C trade within a few percentage points of one another. A building subtropical ridge over the Sichuan Basin favors clear skies and enhanced daytime heating above seasonal norms, while lingering low-level moisture and variable cloud cover create modest forecast spread. Traders are weighting the latest model runs against May climatology, where typical highs average 27–29 °C, and will closely monitor the next cycle of guidance for any shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer mixing before the observation window closes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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