Numerical weather prediction ensembles from China’s Meteorological Administration have converged on a daily maximum of 31°C for Chengdu on May 17, anchoring the market’s near-certain consensus at that level. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan Basin has delivered clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover, allowing greater daytime insolation and pushing temperatures above the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C. Lingering low-level moisture introduces only modest model spread, keeping the probability of 32°C or higher negligible. Traders are now watching the final afternoon observation window at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport for any last adjustments to steering flow or boundary-layer mixing before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日成都气温最高？
5月17日成都气温最高？
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$66,412 交易量
$66,412 交易量
2026-05-17
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$66,412 交易量
$66,412 交易量
2026-05-17
23°C or below
$1,364 交易量
<1%
24°C
$1,745 交易量
<1%
25°C
$3,055 交易量
<1%
26°C
$5,042 交易量
<1%
27°C
$5,971 交易量
<1%
28°C
$6,250 交易量
<1%
29°C
$6,422 交易量
<1%
30°C
$9,437 交易量
<1%
31°C
$11,301 交易量
100%
32°C
$8,869 交易量
<1%
33°C or higher
$6,958 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Numerical weather prediction ensembles from China’s Meteorological Administration have converged on a daily maximum of 31°C for Chengdu on May 17, anchoring the market’s near-certain consensus at that level. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan Basin has delivered clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover, allowing greater daytime insolation and pushing temperatures above the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C. Lingering low-level moisture introduces only modest model spread, keeping the probability of 32°C or higher negligible. Traders are now watching the final afternoon observation window at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport for any last adjustments to steering flow or boundary-layer mixing before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$66,412结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Numerical weather prediction ensembles from China’s Meteorological Administration have converged on a daily maximum of 31°C for Chengdu on May 17, anchoring the market’s near-certain consensus at that level. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan Basin has delivered clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover, allowing greater daytime insolation and pushing temperatures above the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C. Lingering low-level moisture introduces only modest model spread, keeping the probability of 32°C or higher negligible. Traders are now watching the final afternoon observation window at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport for any last adjustments to steering flow or boundary-layer mixing before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$66,412结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNumerical weather prediction ensembles from China’s Meteorological Administration have converged on a daily maximum of 31°C for Chengdu on May 17, anchoring the market’s near-certain consensus at that level. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan Basin has delivered clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover, allowing greater daytime insolation and pushing temperatures above the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C. Lingering low-level moisture introduces only modest model spread, keeping the probability of 32°C or higher negligible. Traders are now watching the final afternoon observation window at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport for any last adjustments to steering flow or boundary-layer mixing before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题