Current forecast models from agencies tracking East Asian summer monsoon patterns point to a daily maximum near 28–29°C in Chongqing on June 13, keeping market-implied probabilities tightly clustered around those outcomes. Regional humidity levels above 70 percent, combined with expected light cloud cover or scattered showers, are limiting strong daytime heating, while the city’s basin topography and urban heat island effect add modest warming that prevents cooler readings below 27°C. Ensemble guidance shows minor spread tied to timing of any afternoon convection and boundary-layer moisture transport. Updated short-range runs from global and regional models over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chongqing on June 13?
28°C 30%
29°C 22%
27°C 22%
26°C 12%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
9%
26°C
12%
27°C
22%
28°C
30%
29°C
22%
30°C
9%
31°C
3%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
28°C 30%
29°C 22%
27°C 22%
26°C 12%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
9%
26°C
12%
27°C
22%
28°C
30%
29°C
22%
30°C
9%
31°C
3%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 11, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from agencies tracking East Asian summer monsoon patterns point to a daily maximum near 28–29°C in Chongqing on June 13, keeping market-implied probabilities tightly clustered around those outcomes. Regional humidity levels above 70 percent, combined with expected light cloud cover or scattered showers, are limiting strong daytime heating, while the city’s basin topography and urban heat island effect add modest warming that prevents cooler readings below 27°C. Ensemble guidance shows minor spread tied to timing of any afternoon convection and boundary-layer moisture transport. Updated short-range runs from global and regional models over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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