Recent meteorological forecasts converge on a daily maximum near 24–26°C for Chongqing on May 18, reflecting the Sichuan Basin’s tendency to trap humid air beneath moderate subtropical high pressure that limits strong daytime heating. Model consensus from global ensembles shows light southerly flow and variable low-level moisture as the main variables that could nudge the official reading one degree higher or lower, while historical mid-May climatology places typical highs in the same narrow band. Traders’ closely matched probabilities around the 24°C and 25°C contracts capture this limited spread, with the China Meteorological Administration’s automated station data serving as the resolution source once observations are finalized tomorrow.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月18日重庆气温最高?
24°C 27%
25°C 26%
23°C 23%
22°C 16.8%
$12,035 交易量
$12,035 交易量
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
17%
23°C
23%
24°C
27%
25°C
26%
26°C
10%
27°C
5%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
24°C 27%
25°C 26%
23°C 23%
22°C 16.8%
$12,035 交易量
$12,035 交易量
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
17%
23°C
23%
24°C
27%
25°C
26%
26°C
10%
27°C
5%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent meteorological forecasts converge on a daily maximum near 24–26°C for Chongqing on May 18, reflecting the Sichuan Basin’s tendency to trap humid air beneath moderate subtropical high pressure that limits strong daytime heating. Model consensus from global ensembles shows light southerly flow and variable low-level moisture as the main variables that could nudge the official reading one degree higher or lower, while historical mid-May climatology places typical highs in the same narrow band. Traders’ closely matched probabilities around the 24°C and 25°C contracts capture this limited spread, with the China Meteorological Administration’s automated station data serving as the resolution source once observations are finalized tomorrow.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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