Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-unanimous confidence in a high temperature of 80°F or higher in Dallas on May 14, driven by National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts projecting peaks of 88–93°F under a dominant upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and south-southeasterly winds transporting warm Gulf moisture. Morning observations already exceed 70°F at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport, with ample daytime heating expected absent cloud cover. This aligns with May climatology, where daily highs average 87°F and rarely dip below 80°F. Realistic challenges include isolated thunderstorms disrupting insolation, though current guidance indicates low probability; hourly updates from NOAA stations will confirm through evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月14日达拉斯的最高温度?
80°F或更高 100.0%
61°F或以下 <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$60,438 交易量
$60,438 交易量
61°F或以下
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80°F或更高
是
80°F或更高 100.0%
61°F或以下 <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$60,438 交易量
$60,438 交易量
61°F或以下
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80°F或更高
是
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-unanimous confidence in a high temperature of 80°F or higher in Dallas on May 14, driven by National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts projecting peaks of 88–93°F under a dominant upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and south-southeasterly winds transporting warm Gulf moisture. Morning observations already exceed 70°F at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport, with ample daytime heating expected absent cloud cover. This aligns with May climatology, where daily highs average 87°F and rarely dip below 80°F. Realistic challenges include isolated thunderstorms disrupting insolation, though current guidance indicates low probability; hourly updates from NOAA stations will confirm through evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题