National Weather Service forecasts for the Dallas-Fort Worth area project a high near 92°F today under mostly sunny skies and south-southeast winds of 5-15 mph, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 80°F or higher via strong warm air advection and rapid diurnal heating from current morning readings in the upper 70s. A persistent high-pressure ridge aligns with NOAA's spring outlook for above-normal temperatures in North Texas, bolstered by ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF showing peak heating mid-afternoon and under 10% precipitation risk. Realistic challenges include an unexpected marine layer or weak frontal intrusion capping temperatures below 80°F, though upper-air patterns make this unlikely; official hourly observations at Dallas-Fort Worth Airport will confirm the peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月14日达拉斯的最高温度?
5月14日达拉斯的最高温度?
80°F或更高 100.0%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$60,218 交易量
$60,218 交易量
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F或更高
100%
80°F或更高 100.0%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$60,218 交易量
$60,218 交易量
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F或更高
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service forecasts for the Dallas-Fort Worth area project a high near 92°F today under mostly sunny skies and south-southeast winds of 5-15 mph, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 80°F or higher via strong warm air advection and rapid diurnal heating from current morning readings in the upper 70s. A persistent high-pressure ridge aligns with NOAA's spring outlook for above-normal temperatures in North Texas, bolstered by ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF showing peak heating mid-afternoon and under 10% precipitation risk. Realistic challenges include an unexpected marine layer or weak frontal intrusion capping temperatures below 80°F, though upper-air patterns make this unlikely; official hourly observations at Dallas-Fort Worth Airport will confirm the peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题