Official surface temperature observations from the Dallas Love Field station confirmed a daily maximum of at least 86°F on May 15, establishing the market-implied probability for this outcome at 100 percent. This result aligns with north Texas May climatology, where southerly flow under a persistent upper-level ridge drives rapid daytime heating and limited cloud cover. Pre-event ensemble forecasts from NOAA models projected highs in the mid-to-upper 80s with tight consensus, reflecting typical seasonal baselines around 84–87°F. Only an unprecedented post-event data revision or station instrumentation error could realistically challenge resolution, though historical verification records show such discrepancies occur infrequently.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Dallas on May 15?
86°F or higher 100.0%
$22,084 交易量
$22,084 交易量
86°F or higher
100%
86°F or higher 100.0%
$22,084 交易量
$22,084 交易量
86°F or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
已提议结果: Yes
争议期
最终
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: Yes
争议期
最终
Official surface temperature observations from the Dallas Love Field station confirmed a daily maximum of at least 86°F on May 15, establishing the market-implied probability for this outcome at 100 percent. This result aligns with north Texas May climatology, where southerly flow under a persistent upper-level ridge drives rapid daytime heating and limited cloud cover. Pre-event ensemble forecasts from NOAA models projected highs in the mid-to-upper 80s with tight consensus, reflecting typical seasonal baselines around 84–87°F. Only an unprecedented post-event data revision or station instrumentation error could realistically challenge resolution, though historical verification records show such discrepancies occur infrequently.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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