Traders have converged on 34°C as the day's maximum temperature in Guangzhou due to real-time observational data and model consensus from official sources like the Guangzhou Meteorological Observatory. August climatology in the region typically features highs of 31–34°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences, with current conditions aligning precisely to this threshold through verified station readings rather than model projections. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects the low uncertainty once official measurements are recorded. Only an unexpected revision in the final daily maximum from the primary reporting station could alter the outcome, though such adjustments remain rare given standardized protocols.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月14日广州气温最高？
8月14日广州气温最高？
34°C 100.0%
27°C或以下 <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$117,440 交易量
$117,440 交易量
2026-08-14
27°C或以下
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
是
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C或更高
否
34°C 100.0%
27°C或以下 <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$117,440 交易量
$117,440 交易量
2026-08-14
27°C或以下
$438 交易量
否
28°C
$939 交易量
否
29°C
$11,219 交易量
否
30°C
$4,942 交易量
否
31°C
$14,024 交易量
否
32°C
$14,773 交易量
否
33°C
$15,809 交易量
否
34°C
$26,233 交易量
是
35°C
$13,697 交易量
否
36°C
$10,102 交易量
否
37°C或更高
$5,264 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 34°C as the day's maximum temperature in Guangzhou due to real-time observational data and model consensus from official sources like the Guangzhou Meteorological Observatory. August climatology in the region typically features highs of 31–34°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences, with current conditions aligning precisely to this threshold through verified station readings rather than model projections. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects the low uncertainty once official measurements are recorded. Only an unexpected revision in the final daily maximum from the primary reporting station could alter the outcome, though such adjustments remain rare given standardized protocols.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$117,440结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 34°C as the day's maximum temperature in Guangzhou due to real-time observational data and model consensus from official sources like the Guangzhou Meteorological Observatory. August climatology in the region typically features highs of 31–34°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences, with current conditions aligning precisely to this threshold through verified station readings rather than model projections. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects the low uncertainty once official measurements are recorded. Only an unexpected revision in the final daily maximum from the primary reporting station could alter the outcome, though such adjustments remain rare given standardized protocols.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$117,440结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Traders have converged on 34°C as the day's maximum temperature in Guangzhou due to real-time observational data and model consensus from official sources like the Guangzhou Meteorological Observatory. August climatology in the region typically features highs of 31–34°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences, with current conditions aligning precisely to this threshold through verified station readings rather than model projections. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects the low uncertainty once official measurements are recorded. Only an unexpected revision in the final daily maximum from the primary reporting station could alter the outcome, though such adjustments remain rare given standardized protocols.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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