Recent official temperature readings from the China Meteorological Administration and local Guangzhou stations confirm a daytime peak of 27°C under predominantly overcast skies with limited solar heating and scattered light showers that suppressed further warming. Ensemble model runs from the CMA, ECMWF, and GFS converged on this outcome as cloud cover and moisture advection maintained surface temperatures near the seasonal average high of 28–29°C but prevented any exceedance. Market-implied odds at 100% for 27°C reflect this consensus backed by real-time observations. Only an unexpected late-afternoon clearing combined with stronger insolation or a revision to station data could realistically shift the recorded high.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日广州气温最高?
27°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$30,556 交易量
$30,556 交易量
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或更高
<1%
27°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$30,556 交易量
$30,556 交易量
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent official temperature readings from the China Meteorological Administration and local Guangzhou stations confirm a daytime peak of 27°C under predominantly overcast skies with limited solar heating and scattered light showers that suppressed further warming. Ensemble model runs from the CMA, ECMWF, and GFS converged on this outcome as cloud cover and moisture advection maintained surface temperatures near the seasonal average high of 28–29°C but prevented any exceedance. Market-implied odds at 100% for 27°C reflect this consensus backed by real-time observations. Only an unexpected late-afternoon clearing combined with stronger insolation or a revision to station data could realistically shift the recorded high.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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