Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models show strong consensus around a 27°C daily high for Guangzhou on May 17, driven by persistent cloud cover and light patchy rain that has suppressed peak daytime heating below mid-May climatological norms of 29–30°C. This positioning reflects trader assessment of current steering patterns and moisture influx typical of pre-monsoon conditions, with official station readings at Baiyun International Airport serving as the resolution source. While model agreement supports this outcome with high confidence, unexpected afternoon clearing or shifts in convective activity could still push temperatures modestly higher before evening observations finalize the result.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日广州气温最高?
27°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$30,052 交易量
$30,052 交易量
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或更高
<1%
27°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$30,052 交易量
$30,052 交易量
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models show strong consensus around a 27°C daily high for Guangzhou on May 17, driven by persistent cloud cover and light patchy rain that has suppressed peak daytime heating below mid-May climatological norms of 29–30°C. This positioning reflects trader assessment of current steering patterns and moisture influx typical of pre-monsoon conditions, with official station readings at Baiyun International Airport serving as the resolution source. While model agreement supports this outcome with high confidence, unexpected afternoon clearing or shifts in convective activity could still push temperatures modestly higher before evening observations finalize the result.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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