Recent forecast models for the Pearl River Delta indicate a daily high near 29°C in Guangzhou on May 18, driven by southerly flow that supports daytime heating amid typical subtropical spring conditions. Moderate humidity levels and scattered convective clouds may cap peak temperatures, aligning with the market-implied 32% probability for exactly 29°C and 22.5% for 28°C. Historical May climatology from the China Meteorological Administration shows average highs around 29–30°C, with variability tied to cloud cover and regional moisture. Traders weigh these factors against potential model shifts in the final 24 hours before resolution, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range temperature predictions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月18日广州气温最高？
5月18日广州气温最高？
29°C 32%
28℃ 23%
30°C 22%
27°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
14%
28℃
23%
29°C
32%
30°C
22%
31°C
5%
32°C或更高
1%
29°C 32%
28℃ 23%
30°C 22%
27°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
22°C或以下
$754 交易量
<1%
23°C
$392 交易量
<1%
24°C
$1,095 交易量
<1%
25°C
$2,821 交易量
<1%
26°C
$265 交易量
5%
27°C
$383 交易量
14%
28℃
$310 交易量
23%
29°C
$550 交易量
32%
30°C
$383 交易量
22%
31°C
$313 交易量
5%
32°C或更高
$841 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models for the Pearl River Delta indicate a daily high near 29°C in Guangzhou on May 18, driven by southerly flow that supports daytime heating amid typical subtropical spring conditions. Moderate humidity levels and scattered convective clouds may cap peak temperatures, aligning with the market-implied 32% probability for exactly 29°C and 22.5% for 28°C. Historical May climatology from the China Meteorological Administration shows average highs around 29–30°C, with variability tied to cloud cover and regional moisture. Traders weigh these factors against potential model shifts in the final 24 hours before resolution, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range temperature predictions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$8,106结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models for the Pearl River Delta indicate a daily high near 29°C in Guangzhou on May 18, driven by southerly flow that supports daytime heating amid typical subtropical spring conditions. Moderate humidity levels and scattered convective clouds may cap peak temperatures, aligning with the market-implied 32% probability for exactly 29°C and 22.5% for 28°C. Historical May climatology from the China Meteorological Administration shows average highs around 29–30°C, with variability tied to cloud cover and regional moisture. Traders weigh these factors against potential model shifts in the final 24 hours before resolution, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range temperature predictions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$8,106结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETRecent forecast models for the Pearl River Delta indicate a daily high near 29°C in Guangzhou on May 18, driven by southerly flow that supports daytime heating amid typical subtropical spring conditions. Moderate humidity levels and scattered convective clouds may cap peak temperatures, aligning with the market-implied 32% probability for exactly 29°C and 22.5% for 28°C. Historical May climatology from the China Meteorological Administration shows average highs around 29–30°C, with variability tied to cloud cover and regional moisture. Traders weigh these factors against potential model shifts in the final 24 hours before resolution, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range temperature predictions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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