Official records from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum temperature of exactly 25°C on May 16, establishing the scientific basis for the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome. This value aligns with mid-May climatology in the subtropical region, where average highs typically range from 24–28°C amid transitional monsoon influences and moderate humidity. Standard monitoring protocols at the agency's primary stations, using calibrated thermometers and consistent siting, captured stable atmospheric conditions without notable urban heat amplification or frontal passages that could have driven deviations. Forecast models had converged on this narrow band days earlier, and the final observation leaves negligible scope for revision, as historical data revisions at this precision level occur infrequently.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$302,807 交易量
$302,807 交易量
2026-05-16
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$302,807 交易量
$302,807 交易量
2026-05-16
19°C or below
$20,087 交易量
<1%
20°C
$12,423 交易量
<1%
21°C
$12,259 交易量
<1%
22°C
$6,633 交易量
<1%
23°C
$4,753 交易量
<1%
24°C
$37,336 交易量
<1%
25°C
$77,368 交易量
100%
26°C
$43,033 交易量
<1%
27°C
$39,653 交易量
<1%
28°C
$25,261 交易量
<1%
29°C or higher
$24,002 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official records from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum temperature of exactly 25°C on May 16, establishing the scientific basis for the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome. This value aligns with mid-May climatology in the subtropical region, where average highs typically range from 24–28°C amid transitional monsoon influences and moderate humidity. Standard monitoring protocols at the agency's primary stations, using calibrated thermometers and consistent siting, captured stable atmospheric conditions without notable urban heat amplification or frontal passages that could have driven deviations. Forecast models had converged on this narrow band days earlier, and the final observation leaves negligible scope for revision, as historical data revisions at this precision level occur infrequently.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
交易量
$302,807结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official records from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum temperature of exactly 25°C on May 16, establishing the scientific basis for the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome. This value aligns with mid-May climatology in the subtropical region, where average highs typically range from 24–28°C amid transitional monsoon influences and moderate humidity. Standard monitoring protocols at the agency's primary stations, using calibrated thermometers and consistent siting, captured stable atmospheric conditions without notable urban heat amplification or frontal passages that could have driven deviations. Forecast models had converged on this narrow band days earlier, and the final observation leaves negligible scope for revision, as historical data revisions at this precision level occur infrequently.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$302,807结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official records from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum temperature of exactly 25°C on May 16, establishing the scientific basis for the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome. This value aligns with mid-May climatology in the subtropical region, where average highs typically range from 24–28°C amid transitional monsoon influences and moderate humidity. Standard monitoring protocols at the agency's primary stations, using calibrated thermometers and consistent siting, captured stable atmospheric conditions without notable urban heat amplification or frontal passages that could have driven deviations. Forecast models had converged on this narrow band days earlier, and the final observation leaves negligible scope for revision, as historical data revisions at this precision level occur infrequently.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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