The Hong Kong Observatory's official daily maximum of 25°C on May 16, recorded under standard Stevenson screen protocols at urban stations, has driven near-certain trader consensus around this outcome amid clear subtropical high-pressure conditions that suppressed peak warming. Recent model consensus from regional forecasts had pointed to modest daytime highs in the mid-20s Celsius, aligning closely with observed data and historical May baselines for the region. This positioning reflects verified observational evidence rather than projections, with minimal scope for revision given the finalized meteorological records. Only an unlikely post-analysis adjustment to station data or reclassification of the measurement window could alter resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$302,785 交易量
$302,785 交易量
2026-05-16
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$302,785 交易量
$302,785 交易量
2026-05-16
19°C or below
$20,087 交易量
<1%
20°C
$12,423 交易量
<1%
21°C
$12,259 交易量
<1%
22°C
$6,633 交易量
<1%
23°C
$4,753 交易量
<1%
24°C
$37,336 交易量
<1%
25°C
$77,348 交易量
100%
26°C
$43,033 交易量
<1%
27°C
$39,652 交易量
<1%
28°C
$25,260 交易量
<1%
29°C or higher
$24,002 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official daily maximum of 25°C on May 16, recorded under standard Stevenson screen protocols at urban stations, has driven near-certain trader consensus around this outcome amid clear subtropical high-pressure conditions that suppressed peak warming. Recent model consensus from regional forecasts had pointed to modest daytime highs in the mid-20s Celsius, aligning closely with observed data and historical May baselines for the region. This positioning reflects verified observational evidence rather than projections, with minimal scope for revision given the finalized meteorological records. Only an unlikely post-analysis adjustment to station data or reclassification of the measurement window could alter resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
交易量
$302,785结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official daily maximum of 25°C on May 16, recorded under standard Stevenson screen protocols at urban stations, has driven near-certain trader consensus around this outcome amid clear subtropical high-pressure conditions that suppressed peak warming. Recent model consensus from regional forecasts had pointed to modest daytime highs in the mid-20s Celsius, aligning closely with observed data and historical May baselines for the region. This positioning reflects verified observational evidence rather than projections, with minimal scope for revision given the finalized meteorological records. Only an unlikely post-analysis adjustment to station data or reclassification of the measurement window could alter resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$302,785结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory's official daily maximum of 25°C on May 16, recorded under standard Stevenson screen protocols at urban stations, has driven near-certain trader consensus around this outcome amid clear subtropical high-pressure conditions that suppressed peak warming. Recent model consensus from regional forecasts had pointed to modest daytime highs in the mid-20s Celsius, aligning closely with observed data and historical May baselines for the region. This positioning reflects verified observational evidence rather than projections, with minimal scope for revision given the finalized meteorological records. Only an unlikely post-analysis adjustment to station data or reclassification of the measurement window could alter resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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