Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a daytime maximum near 25°C on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system that promotes subsidence and a moist easterly flow enhancing cloud cover to limit surface heating. This consensus aligns with historical May climatology, where typical highs range from 26–31°C under similar synoptic patterns, and current model runs show minimal spread in expected peak temperatures. Traders have priced in the 25°C outcome at 99.9% implied probability because official guidance points to these conditions persisting through the afternoon peak, though a brief clearing of cloud cover or unexpected strengthening of insolation could push readings slightly higher before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日香港气温最高？
5月17日香港气温最高？
25°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$262,015 交易量
$262,015 交易量
2026-05-17
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$262,015 交易量
$262,015 交易量
2026-05-17
19°C or below
$3,029 交易量
<1%
20°C
$2,037 交易量
<1%
21°C
$2,261 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,657 交易量
<1%
23°C
$6,693 交易量
<1%
24°C
$38,047 交易量
<1%
25°C
$102,706 交易量
100%
26°C
$52,422 交易量
<1%
27°C
$24,320 交易量
<1%
28°C
$12,445 交易量
<1%
29°C or higher
$16,399 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a daytime maximum near 25°C on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system that promotes subsidence and a moist easterly flow enhancing cloud cover to limit surface heating. This consensus aligns with historical May climatology, where typical highs range from 26–31°C under similar synoptic patterns, and current model runs show minimal spread in expected peak temperatures. Traders have priced in the 25°C outcome at 99.9% implied probability because official guidance points to these conditions persisting through the afternoon peak, though a brief clearing of cloud cover or unexpected strengthening of insolation could push readings slightly higher before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$262,015结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a daytime maximum near 25°C on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system that promotes subsidence and a moist easterly flow enhancing cloud cover to limit surface heating. This consensus aligns with historical May climatology, where typical highs range from 26–31°C under similar synoptic patterns, and current model runs show minimal spread in expected peak temperatures. Traders have priced in the 25°C outcome at 99.9% implied probability because official guidance points to these conditions persisting through the afternoon peak, though a brief clearing of cloud cover or unexpected strengthening of insolation could push readings slightly higher before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$262,015结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a daytime maximum near 25°C on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system that promotes subsidence and a moist easterly flow enhancing cloud cover to limit surface heating. This consensus aligns with historical May climatology, where typical highs range from 26–31°C under similar synoptic patterns, and current model runs show minimal spread in expected peak temperatures. Traders have priced in the 25°C outcome at 99.9% implied probability because official guidance points to these conditions persisting through the afternoon peak, though a brief clearing of cloud cover or unexpected strengthening of insolation could push readings slightly higher before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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