Latest multi-model forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to a maximum near 28°C on May 19, supported by a subtropical ridge delivering light southerly flow, moderate humidity around 75–85 percent, and limited cloud cover that favors diurnal warming. Seasonal guidance for May–July already flags normal-to-above-normal temperatures, yet short-range uncertainty arises from possible afternoon convective showers that could cap the peak at 27°C or allow brief clearing to push it toward 29°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical May maxima averaging 28–29°C, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at the King’s Park reference station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月19日香港气温最高?
28°C 28%
29°C 24%
27°C 19%
30°C 12%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
19%
28°C
28%
29°C
24%
30°C
12%
31°C
7%
32°C or higher
4%
28°C 28%
29°C 24%
27°C 19%
30°C 12%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
19%
28°C
28%
29°C
24%
30°C
12%
31°C
7%
32°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest multi-model forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to a maximum near 28°C on May 19, supported by a subtropical ridge delivering light southerly flow, moderate humidity around 75–85 percent, and limited cloud cover that favors diurnal warming. Seasonal guidance for May–July already flags normal-to-above-normal temperatures, yet short-range uncertainty arises from possible afternoon convective showers that could cap the peak at 27°C or allow brief clearing to push it toward 29°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical May maxima averaging 28–29°C, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at the King’s Park reference station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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