Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 29 indicate mostly sunny skies and highs in the mid-to-upper 90s, with several outlooks centering on 96–97°F amid light winds and only a slight afternoon storm chance. These conditions align with the market’s leading 96–97°F outcome at 51% implied probability, reflecting trader confidence in model consensus under persistent subtropical high pressure. Seasonal averages hover near 92°F, so current warmth stems from above-normal temperatures seen through late August 2026. Limited model spread and minimal steering influences from distant systems keep probabilities for 98°F+ or sub-95°F readings low, with resolution hinging on official airport observations the following day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日休斯顿的最高温度？
8月29日休斯顿的最高温度？
96-97°F 51%
94-95°F 34%
98-99°F 10%
92-93°F 9%
最新
$15,708 交易量
最新
$15,708 交易量
2026-08-29
83°F或以下
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
9%
94-95°F
34%
96-97°F
51%
98-99°F
10%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F或更高
<1%
96-97°F 51%
94-95°F 34%
98-99°F 10%
92-93°F 9%
最新
$15,708 交易量
最新
$15,708 交易量
2026-08-29
83°F或以下
$352 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$381 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$848 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$384 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$484 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$1,254 交易量
9%
94-95°F
$2,821 交易量
34%
96-97°F
$6,885 交易量
51%
98-99°F
$1,372 交易量
10%
100-101°F
$385 交易量
<1%
102°F或更高
$542 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 29 indicate mostly sunny skies and highs in the mid-to-upper 90s, with several outlooks centering on 96–97°F amid light winds and only a slight afternoon storm chance. These conditions align with the market’s leading 96–97°F outcome at 51% implied probability, reflecting trader confidence in model consensus under persistent subtropical high pressure. Seasonal averages hover near 92°F, so current warmth stems from above-normal temperatures seen through late August 2026. Limited model spread and minimal steering influences from distant systems keep probabilities for 98°F+ or sub-95°F readings low, with resolution hinging on official airport observations the following day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
交易量
$15,708结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 29 indicate mostly sunny skies and highs in the mid-to-upper 90s, with several outlooks centering on 96–97°F amid light winds and only a slight afternoon storm chance. These conditions align with the market’s leading 96–97°F outcome at 51% implied probability, reflecting trader confidence in model consensus under persistent subtropical high pressure. Seasonal averages hover near 92°F, so current warmth stems from above-normal temperatures seen through late August 2026. Limited model spread and minimal steering influences from distant systems keep probabilities for 98°F+ or sub-95°F readings low, with resolution hinging on official airport observations the following day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$15,708结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 29 indicate mostly sunny skies and highs in the mid-to-upper 90s, with several outlooks centering on 96–97°F amid light winds and only a slight afternoon storm chance. These conditions align with the market’s leading 96–97°F outcome at 51% implied probability, reflecting trader confidence in model consensus under persistent subtropical high pressure. Seasonal averages hover near 92°F, so current warmth stems from above-normal temperatures seen through late August 2026. Limited model spread and minimal steering influences from distant systems keep probabilities for 98°F+ or sub-95°F readings low, with resolution hinging on official airport observations the following day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题