Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami forecast overnight lows near 80–82°F for the night of August 29–30 amid persistent easterly flow, high dew points near 78°F, and scattered thunderstorm activity that limits radiative cooling. This consensus underpins the near-even 30% market-implied odds on 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins, with secondary support for 82–83°F. Subtle differences among outcomes hinge on exact storm timing, cloud-cover duration, and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift minimum readings by a degree or two in the humid subtropical regime. Historical August lows average 77–78°F, but recent warm anomalies and absent frontal intrusions sustain elevated trader expectations for values clustered in the upper 70s to low 80s.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日迈阿密最低气温?
80-81°F 34%
78-79°F 30%
82-83°F 21%
76-77°F 15%
73°F或以下
2%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
15%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
34%
82-83°F
21%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92°F或更高
1%
80-81°F 34%
78-79°F 30%
82-83°F 21%
76-77°F 15%
73°F或以下
2%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
15%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
34%
82-83°F
21%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92°F或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami forecast overnight lows near 80–82°F for the night of August 29–30 amid persistent easterly flow, high dew points near 78°F, and scattered thunderstorm activity that limits radiative cooling. This consensus underpins the near-even 30% market-implied odds on 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins, with secondary support for 82–83°F. Subtle differences among outcomes hinge on exact storm timing, cloud-cover duration, and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift minimum readings by a degree or two in the humid subtropical regime. Historical August lows average 77–78°F, but recent warm anomalies and absent frontal intrusions sustain elevated trader expectations for values clustered in the upper 70s to low 80s.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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