Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and regional models indicate a high temperature near or above Houston’s seasonal norm of 87°F for May 17, driven by southerly flow and strong solar heating under mostly clear skies. This consensus supports the 87.8% implied probability for 86°F or higher, with limited downside risk from any late-day cloud cover or brief showers. Historical May data show highs routinely reaching the mid-80s by mid-month, and the absence of unusual cooling influences such as a frontal passage keeps the market tilted toward the upper ranges. Updated model runs later today will refine the exact peak reading measured at Hobby Airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日休斯顿的最高温度?
86°F or higher 86.3%
84-85°F 14%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
$17,526 交易量
$17,526 交易量
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
14%
86°F or higher
86%
86°F or higher 86.3%
84-85°F 14%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
$17,526 交易量
$17,526 交易量
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
14%
86°F or higher
86%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and regional models indicate a high temperature near or above Houston’s seasonal norm of 87°F for May 17, driven by southerly flow and strong solar heating under mostly clear skies. This consensus supports the 87.8% implied probability for 86°F or higher, with limited downside risk from any late-day cloud cover or brief showers. Historical May data show highs routinely reaching the mid-80s by mid-month, and the absence of unusual cooling influences such as a frontal passage keeps the market tilted toward the upper ranges. Updated model runs later today will refine the exact peak reading measured at Hobby Airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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