Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System have converged on a daytime maximum near 21–22 °C for Istanbul on May 18, aligning closely with the mid-May climatological average of 20–22 °C reported by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Stable high-pressure patterns and light southerly flow over the Marmara region are limiting rapid warming or cooling, while overnight lows around 14–16 °C support modest daytime recovery. Model consensus remains tight with only minor spreads in boundary-layer moisture, keeping 21 °C as the leading market-implied outcome at 33 percent while 22 °C sits at 25.5 percent. Final official observations from Istanbul’s primary stations will resolve the market once the day concludes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月18日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
5月18日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
21°C 33%
22°C 26%
20°C 14%
23°C or higher 13.5%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
14%
21°C
33%
22°C
26%
23°C or higher
14%
21°C 33%
22°C 26%
20°C 14%
23°C or higher 13.5%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
13°C or below
$442 交易量
<1%
14°C
$770 交易量
<1%
15°C
$1,115 交易量
<1%
16°C
$791 交易量
<1%
17°C
$1,695 交易量
<1%
18°C
$1,098 交易量
1%
19°C
$731 交易量
4%
20°C
$333 交易量
14%
21°C
$435 交易量
33%
22°C
$304 交易量
26%
23°C or higher
$692 交易量
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System have converged on a daytime maximum near 21–22 °C for Istanbul on May 18, aligning closely with the mid-May climatological average of 20–22 °C reported by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Stable high-pressure patterns and light southerly flow over the Marmara region are limiting rapid warming or cooling, while overnight lows around 14–16 °C support modest daytime recovery. Model consensus remains tight with only minor spreads in boundary-layer moisture, keeping 21 °C as the leading market-implied outcome at 33 percent while 22 °C sits at 25.5 percent. Final official observations from Istanbul’s primary stations will resolve the market once the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$8,406结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System have converged on a daytime maximum near 21–22 °C for Istanbul on May 18, aligning closely with the mid-May climatological average of 20–22 °C reported by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Stable high-pressure patterns and light southerly flow over the Marmara region are limiting rapid warming or cooling, while overnight lows around 14–16 °C support modest daytime recovery. Model consensus remains tight with only minor spreads in boundary-layer moisture, keeping 21 °C as the leading market-implied outcome at 33 percent while 22 °C sits at 25.5 percent. Final official observations from Istanbul’s primary stations will resolve the market once the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$8,406结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System have converged on a daytime maximum near 21–22 °C for Istanbul on May 18, aligning closely with the mid-May climatological average of 20–22 °C reported by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Stable high-pressure patterns and light southerly flow over the Marmara region are limiting rapid warming or cooling, while overnight lows around 14–16 °C support modest daytime recovery. Model consensus remains tight with only minor spreads in boundary-layer moisture, keeping 21 °C as the leading market-implied outcome at 33 percent while 22 °C sits at 25.5 percent. Final official observations from Istanbul’s primary stations will resolve the market once the day concludes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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