Current forecasts for Jinan on August 19 project daytime highs of 30–34°C, consistent with mid-August climatology where average maximums reach 31–32°C and rarely dip below 28°C. Multiple models show stable warm, humid conditions with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected to suppress temperatures, supporting the market's 99.6% implied probability for 26°C or higher. Official monitoring data from regional stations historically confirm similar readings during this period. A realistic challenge could arise from stronger-than-anticipated convective storms or an unmodeled frontal passage that increases cloud cover and rainfall, potentially capping the daily maximum a few degrees lower.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月19日济南气温最高?
26°C or higher 99.6%
18°C <1%
25°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 99.6%
18°C <1%
25°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts for Jinan on August 19 project daytime highs of 30–34°C, consistent with mid-August climatology where average maximums reach 31–32°C and rarely dip below 28°C. Multiple models show stable warm, humid conditions with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected to suppress temperatures, supporting the market's 99.6% implied probability for 26°C or higher. Official monitoring data from regional stations historically confirm similar readings during this period. A realistic challenge could arise from stronger-than-anticipated convective storms or an unmodeled frontal passage that increases cloud cover and rainfall, potentially capping the daily maximum a few degrees lower.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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