Forecast models from regional meteorological services, including guidance aligned with the China Meteorological Administration, project a daytime high near 28–29 °C for Jinan on 29 August under mostly cloudy, humid conditions with light northeasterly flow. This consensus places the daily maximum comfortably above the 26 °C threshold, producing the market’s 93.5 % implied probability for that outcome. Historical late-August averages for the city hover around 30 °C, and current steering patterns show no strong cold-air advection. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected intensification of rain-cooled downdrafts or a sharper frontal boundary arriving earlier than modeled, potentially trimming the peak by 2–3 °C; however, the latest observational trends and ensemble runs show limited support for such cooling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日济南气温最高？
8月29日济南气温最高？
26°C or higher 94%
25°C 8%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
8%
26°C or higher
94%
26°C or higher 94%
25°C 8%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
16°C or below
$115 交易量
<1%
17°C
$115 交易量
<1%
18°C
$115 交易量
<1%
19°C
$105 交易量
<1%
20°C
$105 交易量
<1%
21°C
$115 交易量
<1%
22°C
$885 交易量
<1%
23°C
$1,065 交易量
<1%
24°C
$91 交易量
1%
25°C
$253 交易量
8%
26°C or higher
$1,227 交易量
94%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from regional meteorological services, including guidance aligned with the China Meteorological Administration, project a daytime high near 28–29 °C for Jinan on 29 August under mostly cloudy, humid conditions with light northeasterly flow. This consensus places the daily maximum comfortably above the 26 °C threshold, producing the market’s 93.5 % implied probability for that outcome. Historical late-August averages for the city hover around 30 °C, and current steering patterns show no strong cold-air advection. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected intensification of rain-cooled downdrafts or a sharper frontal boundary arriving earlier than modeled, potentially trimming the peak by 2–3 °C; however, the latest observational trends and ensemble runs show limited support for such cooling.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$4,191结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from regional meteorological services, including guidance aligned with the China Meteorological Administration, project a daytime high near 28–29 °C for Jinan on 29 August under mostly cloudy, humid conditions with light northeasterly flow. This consensus places the daily maximum comfortably above the 26 °C threshold, producing the market’s 93.5 % implied probability for that outcome. Historical late-August averages for the city hover around 30 °C, and current steering patterns show no strong cold-air advection. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected intensification of rain-cooled downdrafts or a sharper frontal boundary arriving earlier than modeled, potentially trimming the peak by 2–3 °C; however, the latest observational trends and ensemble runs show limited support for such cooling.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,191结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETForecast models from regional meteorological services, including guidance aligned with the China Meteorological Administration, project a daytime high near 28–29 °C for Jinan on 29 August under mostly cloudy, humid conditions with light northeasterly flow. This consensus places the daily maximum comfortably above the 26 °C threshold, producing the market’s 93.5 % implied probability for that outcome. Historical late-August averages for the city hover around 30 °C, and current steering patterns show no strong cold-air advection. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected intensification of rain-cooled downdrafts or a sharper frontal boundary arriving earlier than modeled, potentially trimming the peak by 2–3 °C; however, the latest observational trends and ensemble runs show limited support for such cooling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题