Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department indicate a mainly clear sky with strong surface winds for Lucknow on August 31, supporting a potential maximum of 34°C, while several global models incorporate higher thunderstorm probabilities that could limit peaks near 31–32°C through enhanced cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Monsoon moisture and steering patterns remain the dominant variables, with recent heavy rainfall on August 28–29 demonstrating how convective activity can suppress daytime maxima by 2–4°C relative to clear-sky baselines. Model divergence on timing of any weak low-pressure influence creates the tight clustering around 31–32°C in trader consensus, with resolution hinging on the final IMD observational maximum and any late forecast revisions ahead of the date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日勒克瑙的最高温度?
31°C 34%
32°C 27%
30°C 24%
33°C 12%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
11%
30°C
16%
31°C
34%
32°C
27%
33°C
12%
34°C or higher
10%
31°C 34%
32°C 27%
30°C 24%
33°C 12%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
11%
30°C
16%
31°C
34%
32°C
27%
33°C
12%
34°C or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department indicate a mainly clear sky with strong surface winds for Lucknow on August 31, supporting a potential maximum of 34°C, while several global models incorporate higher thunderstorm probabilities that could limit peaks near 31–32°C through enhanced cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Monsoon moisture and steering patterns remain the dominant variables, with recent heavy rainfall on August 28–29 demonstrating how convective activity can suppress daytime maxima by 2–4°C relative to clear-sky baselines. Model divergence on timing of any weak low-pressure influence creates the tight clustering around 31–32°C in trader consensus, with resolution hinging on the final IMD observational maximum and any late forecast revisions ahead of the date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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