Recent forecasts from major models and agencies, including BBC Weather and AccuWeather, indicate Madrid will likely reach a daily maximum near 34°C on June 13 under sunny skies and light winds that favor daytime heating. These conditions align with above-average June temperatures for the region, where climatological highs typically range 28–32°C, and explain the tight market split between the 34°C and 35°C outcomes. Minor uncertainties in cloud cover, wind patterns, or the precise timing of peak heating across ensemble runs account for the close probabilities and smaller shares for 33°C or 36°C. Traders will watch updated AEMET and European model guidance in the next 48 hours for any shifts that could alter the implied odds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Madrid on June 13?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 13?
34°C 41%
35°C 37%
36°C 16%
33°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-06-13
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
11%
34°C
41%
35°C
37%
36°C
16%
37°C or higher
3%
34°C 41%
35°C 37%
36°C 16%
33°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-06-13
27°C或以下
$200 交易量
<1%
28°C
$0 交易量
<1%
29°C
$0 交易量
<1%
30°C
$0 交易量
1%
31°C
$0 交易量
1%
32°C
$20 交易量
4%
33°C
$0 交易量
11%
34°C
$72 交易量
41%
35°C
$135 交易量
37%
36°C
$0 交易量
16%
37°C or higher
$20 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models and agencies, including BBC Weather and AccuWeather, indicate Madrid will likely reach a daily maximum near 34°C on June 13 under sunny skies and light winds that favor daytime heating. These conditions align with above-average June temperatures for the region, where climatological highs typically range 28–32°C, and explain the tight market split between the 34°C and 35°C outcomes. Minor uncertainties in cloud cover, wind patterns, or the precise timing of peak heating across ensemble runs account for the close probabilities and smaller shares for 33°C or 36°C. Traders will watch updated AEMET and European model guidance in the next 48 hours for any shifts that could alter the implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 11, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$432结束日期
2026-06-13市场开放时间
Jun 11, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models and agencies, including BBC Weather and AccuWeather, indicate Madrid will likely reach a daily maximum near 34°C on June 13 under sunny skies and light winds that favor daytime heating. These conditions align with above-average June temperatures for the region, where climatological highs typically range 28–32°C, and explain the tight market split between the 34°C and 35°C outcomes. Minor uncertainties in cloud cover, wind patterns, or the precise timing of peak heating across ensemble runs account for the close probabilities and smaller shares for 33°C or 36°C. Traders will watch updated AEMET and European model guidance in the next 48 hours for any shifts that could alter the implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$432结束日期
2026-06-13市场开放时间
Jun 11, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent forecasts from major models and agencies, including BBC Weather and AccuWeather, indicate Madrid will likely reach a daily maximum near 34°C on June 13 under sunny skies and light winds that favor daytime heating. These conditions align with above-average June temperatures for the region, where climatological highs typically range 28–32°C, and explain the tight market split between the 34°C and 35°C outcomes. Minor uncertainties in cloud cover, wind patterns, or the precise timing of peak heating across ensemble runs account for the close probabilities and smaller shares for 33°C or 36°C. Traders will watch updated AEMET and European model guidance in the next 48 hours for any shifts that could alter the implied odds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题