PAGASA observations from its Science Garden station in Quezon City, Metro Manila—the official benchmark for such records—confirm a maximum temperature of 36.1°C at 2:00 PM today amid partly cloudy skies and isolated thunderstorms, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on 36°C as the day's high. This aligns with extended forecasts projecting 34–36°C highs during May's dry season peak, when solar heating maximizes mid-afternoon before evening cooling and potential rainshowers suppress further rises. Historical May averages hover around 33–35°C, with current localized thunderstorms limiting convective heating. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon surge past 37°C before sunset, unlikely per model consensus; final daily extremes report expected soon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Manila on May 15?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 15?
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$28,965 交易量
$28,965 交易量
2026-05-15
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$28,965 交易量
$28,965 交易量
2026-05-15
29°C or below
$574 交易量
No
30°C
$1,001 交易量
No
31°C
$719 交易量
No
32°C
$2,095 交易量
No
33°C
$2,509 交易量
No
34°C
$1,873 交易量
No
35°C
$4,475 交易量
No
36°C
$5,897 交易量
Yes
37°C
$3,724 交易量
No
38°C
$2,977 交易量
No
39°C or higher
$3,120 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA observations from its Science Garden station in Quezon City, Metro Manila—the official benchmark for such records—confirm a maximum temperature of 36.1°C at 2:00 PM today amid partly cloudy skies and isolated thunderstorms, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on 36°C as the day's high. This aligns with extended forecasts projecting 34–36°C highs during May's dry season peak, when solar heating maximizes mid-afternoon before evening cooling and potential rainshowers suppress further rises. Historical May averages hover around 33–35°C, with current localized thunderstorms limiting convective heating. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon surge past 37°C before sunset, unlikely per model consensus; final daily extremes report expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
交易量
$28,965结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:59 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA observations from its Science Garden station in Quezon City, Metro Manila—the official benchmark for such records—confirm a maximum temperature of 36.1°C at 2:00 PM today amid partly cloudy skies and isolated thunderstorms, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on 36°C as the day's high. This aligns with extended forecasts projecting 34–36°C highs during May's dry season peak, when solar heating maximizes mid-afternoon before evening cooling and potential rainshowers suppress further rises. Historical May averages hover around 33–35°C, with current localized thunderstorms limiting convective heating. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon surge past 37°C before sunset, unlikely per model consensus; final daily extremes report expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$28,965结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:59 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
PAGASA observations from its Science Garden station in Quezon City, Metro Manila—the official benchmark for such records—confirm a maximum temperature of 36.1°C at 2:00 PM today amid partly cloudy skies and isolated thunderstorms, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on 36°C as the day's high. This aligns with extended forecasts projecting 34–36°C highs during May's dry season peak, when solar heating maximizes mid-afternoon before evening cooling and potential rainshowers suppress further rises. Historical May averages hover around 33–35°C, with current localized thunderstorms limiting convective heating. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon surge past 37°C before sunset, unlikely per model consensus; final daily extremes report expected soon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题