National Weather Service forecasts and regional models for Miami International Airport converged on a daily high of 88-89°F for May 16 under mostly sunny skies, light easterly flow, and typical early-summer humidity levels, establishing the market’s near-certain consensus on that bin. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs hover near 87°F with low variability from stable subtropical high pressure. Model agreement minimized upside risk from sea-breeze convection or late-day heating, while historical records show only rare excursions above 90°F this early in the season absent tropical moisture influx. Resolution hinges on the official maximum at KMIA, so any last-minute observational revision or microclimate effect at the airport station remains the primary uncertainty that could still shift final settlement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Miami on May 16?
88-89°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$85,772 交易量
$85,772 交易量
79°F or below
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
Yes
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F or higher
No
88-89°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$85,772 交易量
$85,772 交易量
79°F or below
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
Yes
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
National Weather Service forecasts and regional models for Miami International Airport converged on a daily high of 88-89°F for May 16 under mostly sunny skies, light easterly flow, and typical early-summer humidity levels, establishing the market’s near-certain consensus on that bin. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when average highs hover near 87°F with low variability from stable subtropical high pressure. Model agreement minimized upside risk from sea-breeze convection or late-day heating, while historical records show only rare excursions above 90°F this early in the season absent tropical moisture influx. Resolution hinges on the official maximum at KMIA, so any last-minute observational revision or microclimate effect at the airport station remains the primary uncertainty that could still shift final settlement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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