Current forecasts from numerical weather models and official meteorological services indicate a peak temperature of 21°C in Milan on May 17, driven by stable anticyclonic conditions over the Po Valley that suppress cloud cover and limit daytime heating. This aligns with May climatology, where average highs hover around 21–23°C under similar high-pressure regimes, with minimal diurnal variability expected today. Trader consensus at 99.5% for the 21°C outcome reflects this strong model agreement and the absence of any incoming fronts or convective activity that could alter the maximum. Only a significant late-day temperature spike from unexpected wind shifts or measurement revisions at official stations would realistically challenge the implied probability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日米兰的最高温度?
21°C 99.8%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$42,945 交易量
$42,945 交易量
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 99.8%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$42,945 交易量
$42,945 交易量
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current forecasts from numerical weather models and official meteorological services indicate a peak temperature of 21°C in Milan on May 17, driven by stable anticyclonic conditions over the Po Valley that suppress cloud cover and limit daytime heating. This aligns with May climatology, where average highs hover around 21–23°C under similar high-pressure regimes, with minimal diurnal variability expected today. Trader consensus at 99.5% for the 21°C outcome reflects this strong model agreement and the absence of any incoming fronts or convective activity that could alter the maximum. Only a significant late-day temperature spike from unexpected wind shifts or measurement revisions at official stations would realistically challenge the implied probability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题