Recent European model guidance from the ECMWF points to a maximum temperature near 20–21°C in Milan on May 18, anchoring the closely matched market-implied probabilities of 35% for 20°C and 31.5% for 21°C. Mild spring conditions under a stable high-pressure system, light variable winds, and limited cloud cover are supporting daytime heating close to the May climatological average of 22°C. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to minor variations in boundary-layer moisture and solar insolation, keeping outcomes between 19°C and 22°C highly competitive. Official observations from Malpensa International Airport tomorrow will resolve the market amid typical uncertainty in short-range temperature forecasts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月18日米兰最高气温？
5月18日米兰最高气温？
20°C 36%
21°C 32%
19°C 19%
22°C 12%
最新
$11,833 交易量
最新
$11,833 交易量
2026-05-18
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
4%
19°C
19%
20°C
36%
21°C
32%
22°C
12%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
20°C 36%
21°C 32%
19°C 19%
22°C 12%
最新
$11,833 交易量
最新
$11,833 交易量
2026-05-18
16°C or below
$703 交易量
<1%
17°C
$918 交易量
<1%
18°C
$2,297 交易量
4%
19°C
$1,219 交易量
19%
20°C
$1,404 交易量
36%
21°C
$1,051 交易量
32%
22°C
$1,163 交易量
12%
23°C
$1,235 交易量
3%
24°C
$869 交易量
1%
25°C
$506 交易量
<1%
26°C or higher
$533 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent European model guidance from the ECMWF points to a maximum temperature near 20–21°C in Milan on May 18, anchoring the closely matched market-implied probabilities of 35% for 20°C and 31.5% for 21°C. Mild spring conditions under a stable high-pressure system, light variable winds, and limited cloud cover are supporting daytime heating close to the May climatological average of 22°C. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to minor variations in boundary-layer moisture and solar insolation, keeping outcomes between 19°C and 22°C highly competitive. Official observations from Malpensa International Airport tomorrow will resolve the market amid typical uncertainty in short-range temperature forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$11,833结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent European model guidance from the ECMWF points to a maximum temperature near 20–21°C in Milan on May 18, anchoring the closely matched market-implied probabilities of 35% for 20°C and 31.5% for 21°C. Mild spring conditions under a stable high-pressure system, light variable winds, and limited cloud cover are supporting daytime heating close to the May climatological average of 22°C. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to minor variations in boundary-layer moisture and solar insolation, keeping outcomes between 19°C and 22°C highly competitive. Official observations from Malpensa International Airport tomorrow will resolve the market amid typical uncertainty in short-range temperature forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$11,833结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent European model guidance from the ECMWF points to a maximum temperature near 20–21°C in Milan on May 18, anchoring the closely matched market-implied probabilities of 35% for 20°C and 31.5% for 21°C. Mild spring conditions under a stable high-pressure system, light variable winds, and limited cloud cover are supporting daytime heating close to the May climatological average of 22°C. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to minor variations in boundary-layer moisture and solar insolation, keeping outcomes between 19°C and 22°C highly competitive. Official observations from Malpensa International Airport tomorrow will resolve the market amid typical uncertainty in short-range temperature forecasts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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