Current forecasts from models including GFS, ECMWF, and ICON indicate a high of 24–25 °C for Munich on September 2 under high pressure, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that permit moderate solar heating without strong advection. This places the expected maximum slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 22 °C while remaining well below historical extremes. Trader consensus, reflected in the 66.5 % implied probability for 25 °C and 24.5 % for 26 °C, aligns with these stable late-summer conditions and limited model spread. Resolution will depend on official DWD observations at the close of the calendar day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日慕尼黑的最高温度?
25°C 64%
26°C 29%
24°C 9%
23°C 3%
$16,214 交易量
$16,214 交易量
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
9%
25°C
64%
26°C
29%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 64%
26°C 29%
24°C 9%
23°C 3%
$16,214 交易量
$16,214 交易量
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
9%
25°C
64%
26°C
29%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from models including GFS, ECMWF, and ICON indicate a high of 24–25 °C for Munich on September 2 under high pressure, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that permit moderate solar heating without strong advection. This places the expected maximum slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 22 °C while remaining well below historical extremes. Trader consensus, reflected in the 66.5 % implied probability for 25 °C and 24.5 % for 26 °C, aligns with these stable late-summer conditions and limited model spread. Resolution will depend on official DWD observations at the close of the calendar day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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