El Niño conditions, now strengthening with Niño 3.4 anomalies exceeding +2°C, are the dominant driver elevating trader-implied odds for a 33–34°C high in Panama City on August 7. This phase typically suppresses rainfall and cloud cover across the isthmus, allowing greater solar heating and pushing daytime maxima several degrees above the long-term August average of 29–30°C. Model consensus and recent observational trends support this modest warming without extreme outliers, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting on 33°C (48%) and 34°C (33%). Forecasters will issue updated guidance later today from national meteorological services, potentially refining the final recorded maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月7日巴拿马城气温最高？
8月7日巴拿马城气温最高？
33°C 49%
34°C 33%
32°C 14%
35°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
14%
33°C
49%
34°C
33%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C或更高
1%
33°C 49%
34°C 33%
32°C 14%
35°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
27°C或以下
$911 交易量
<1%
28°C
$321 交易量
<1%
29°C
$491 交易量
<1%
30°C
$404 交易量
1%
31°C
$402 交易量
1%
32°C
$538 交易量
14%
33°C
$606 交易量
49%
34°C
$1,147 交易量
33%
35°C
$294 交易量
4%
36°C
$295 交易量
1%
37°C或更高
$431 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.El Niño conditions, now strengthening with Niño 3.4 anomalies exceeding +2°C, are the dominant driver elevating trader-implied odds for a 33–34°C high in Panama City on August 7. This phase typically suppresses rainfall and cloud cover across the isthmus, allowing greater solar heating and pushing daytime maxima several degrees above the long-term August average of 29–30°C. Model consensus and recent observational trends support this modest warming without extreme outliers, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting on 33°C (48%) and 34°C (33%). Forecasters will issue updated guidance later today from national meteorological services, potentially refining the final recorded maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$5,840结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.El Niño conditions, now strengthening with Niño 3.4 anomalies exceeding +2°C, are the dominant driver elevating trader-implied odds for a 33–34°C high in Panama City on August 7. This phase typically suppresses rainfall and cloud cover across the isthmus, allowing greater solar heating and pushing daytime maxima several degrees above the long-term August average of 29–30°C. Model consensus and recent observational trends support this modest warming without extreme outliers, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting on 33°C (48%) and 34°C (33%). Forecasters will issue updated guidance later today from national meteorological services, potentially refining the final recorded maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,840结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETEl Niño conditions, now strengthening with Niño 3.4 anomalies exceeding +2°C, are the dominant driver elevating trader-implied odds for a 33–34°C high in Panama City on August 7. This phase typically suppresses rainfall and cloud cover across the isthmus, allowing greater solar heating and pushing daytime maxima several degrees above the long-term August average of 29–30°C. Model consensus and recent observational trends support this modest warming without extreme outliers, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting on 33°C (48%) and 34°C (33%). Forecasters will issue updated guidance later today from national meteorological services, potentially refining the final recorded maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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