Official China Meteorological Administration observations from Qingdao stations confirm the daily high reached exactly 22°C this afternoon amid fine weather and moderating sea breezes, driving trader consensus to a near-100% implied probability for this outcome as sunlight fades and temperatures drop. Mid-May climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 19–23°C under similar partly cloudy conditions, and recent hourly data showing no exceedance despite brief peaks. Model forecasts from CMA aligned closely, emphasizing low intensification potential from coastal influences. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-evening data revision or outlier station reading above 22°C before midnight local time, when final summaries solidify resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 15?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 15?
22°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$24,825 交易量
$24,825 交易量
2026-05-15
21°C or below
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$24,825 交易量
$24,825 交易量
2026-05-15
21°C or below
$5,148 交易量
No
22°C
$5,332 交易量
Yes
23°C
$2,368 交易量
No
24°C
$1,828 交易量
No
25°C
$1,929 交易量
No
26°C
$3,072 交易量
No
27°C
$1,087 交易量
No
28°C
$1,001 交易量
No
29°C
$1,010 交易量
No
30°C
$1,223 交易量
No
31°C or higher
$828 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official China Meteorological Administration observations from Qingdao stations confirm the daily high reached exactly 22°C this afternoon amid fine weather and moderating sea breezes, driving trader consensus to a near-100% implied probability for this outcome as sunlight fades and temperatures drop. Mid-May climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 19–23°C under similar partly cloudy conditions, and recent hourly data showing no exceedance despite brief peaks. Model forecasts from CMA aligned closely, emphasizing low intensification potential from coastal influences. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-evening data revision or outlier station reading above 22°C before midnight local time, when final summaries solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
交易量
$24,825结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:44 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official China Meteorological Administration observations from Qingdao stations confirm the daily high reached exactly 22°C this afternoon amid fine weather and moderating sea breezes, driving trader consensus to a near-100% implied probability for this outcome as sunlight fades and temperatures drop. Mid-May climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 19–23°C under similar partly cloudy conditions, and recent hourly data showing no exceedance despite brief peaks. Model forecasts from CMA aligned closely, emphasizing low intensification potential from coastal influences. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-evening data revision or outlier station reading above 22°C before midnight local time, when final summaries solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$24,825结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:44 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official China Meteorological Administration observations from Qingdao stations confirm the daily high reached exactly 22°C this afternoon amid fine weather and moderating sea breezes, driving trader consensus to a near-100% implied probability for this outcome as sunlight fades and temperatures drop. Mid-May climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 19–23°C under similar partly cloudy conditions, and recent hourly data showing no exceedance despite brief peaks. Model forecasts from CMA aligned closely, emphasizing low intensification potential from coastal influences. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-evening data revision or outlier station reading above 22°C before midnight local time, when final summaries solidify resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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