The China Meteorological Administration's latest forecasts pin Qingdao's May 17 high temperature at 20-21°C under mostly cloudy skies transitioning to light rain, with southeasterly winds at 3-4 levels enhancing coastal cooling from the Yellow Sea. This model consensus on persistent cloud cover and precipitation suppresses peak heating, driving trader sentiment toward 20°C or below at 48% implied probability, while outcomes around 23-26°C linger at 19-20% amid minor uncertainty in exact cloud breaks or rain timing. Recent days' mild highs (19-20°C) under similar sunny-to-cloudy patterns reinforce this positioning, with historical mid-May averages of 20-23°C providing context. Updated hourly guidance expected within 24 hours could refine these market-implied odds further.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日青岛气温最高?
5月17日青岛气温最高?
24°C 22%
25°C 22%
21°C 20.0%
23°C 20%
20°C或以下
4%
21°C
16%
22°C
11%
23°C
20%
24°C
22%
25°C
22%
26°C
5%
27°C
4%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C或更高
1%
24°C 22%
25°C 22%
21°C 20.0%
23°C 20%
20°C或以下
4%
21°C
16%
22°C
11%
23°C
20%
24°C
22%
25°C
22%
26°C
5%
27°C
4%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The China Meteorological Administration's latest forecasts pin Qingdao's May 17 high temperature at 20-21°C under mostly cloudy skies transitioning to light rain, with southeasterly winds at 3-4 levels enhancing coastal cooling from the Yellow Sea. This model consensus on persistent cloud cover and precipitation suppresses peak heating, driving trader sentiment toward 20°C or below at 48% implied probability, while outcomes around 23-26°C linger at 19-20% amid minor uncertainty in exact cloud breaks or rain timing. Recent days' mild highs (19-20°C) under similar sunny-to-cloudy patterns reinforce this positioning, with historical mid-May averages of 20-23°C providing context. Updated hourly guidance expected within 24 hours could refine these market-implied odds further.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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