Trader consensus on the 70-71°F bin reflects the official high temperature recorded on August 13, 2026, at the resolution station, which aligned precisely with that narrow range after a period of marine layer moderation. National Weather Service observations and nearby station data confirmed peak readings near 70°F amid typical August coastal patterns, where onshore flow and fog limited daytime warming below seasonal norms around 71-74°F. This outcome matches climatological baselines for San Francisco in mid-August, with minimal model deviation from prior forecasts. Only an anomalous heat spike from offshore flow or measurement revision at the exact station could have shifted resolution, though no such data emerged.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日旧金山气温最高？
8月13日旧金山气温最高？
70-71°F 100.0%
57°F或以下 <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$63,091 交易量
$63,091 交易量
2026-08-13
57°F或以下
否
58-59°F
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
是
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76°F或更高
否
70-71°F 100.0%
57°F或以下 <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$63,091 交易量
$63,091 交易量
2026-08-13
57°F或以下
$1,390 交易量
否
58-59°F
$1,363 交易量
否
60-61°F
$2,852 交易量
否
62-63°F
$2,161 交易量
否
64-65°F
$3,239 交易量
否
66-67°F
$5,778 交易量
否
68-69°F
$13,653 交易量
否
70-71°F
$9,201 交易量
是
72-73°F
$6,502 交易量
否
74-75°F
$7,637 交易量
否
76°F或更高
$9,313 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the 70-71°F bin reflects the official high temperature recorded on August 13, 2026, at the resolution station, which aligned precisely with that narrow range after a period of marine layer moderation. National Weather Service observations and nearby station data confirmed peak readings near 70°F amid typical August coastal patterns, where onshore flow and fog limited daytime warming below seasonal norms around 71-74°F. This outcome matches climatological baselines for San Francisco in mid-August, with minimal model deviation from prior forecasts. Only an anomalous heat spike from offshore flow or measurement revision at the exact station could have shifted resolution, though no such data emerged.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$63,091结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the 70-71°F bin reflects the official high temperature recorded on August 13, 2026, at the resolution station, which aligned precisely with that narrow range after a period of marine layer moderation. National Weather Service observations and nearby station data confirmed peak readings near 70°F amid typical August coastal patterns, where onshore flow and fog limited daytime warming below seasonal norms around 71-74°F. This outcome matches climatological baselines for San Francisco in mid-August, with minimal model deviation from prior forecasts. Only an anomalous heat spike from offshore flow or measurement revision at the exact station could have shifted resolution, though no such data emerged.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$63,091结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus on the 70-71°F bin reflects the official high temperature recorded on August 13, 2026, at the resolution station, which aligned precisely with that narrow range after a period of marine layer moderation. National Weather Service observations and nearby station data confirmed peak readings near 70°F amid typical August coastal patterns, where onshore flow and fog limited daytime warming below seasonal norms around 71-74°F. This outcome matches climatological baselines for San Francisco in mid-August, with minimal model deviation from prior forecasts. Only an anomalous heat spike from offshore flow or measurement revision at the exact station could have shifted resolution, though no such data emerged.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题