Official observations from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport and Brazil’s INMET network recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 16 under typical autumn subsidence and light easterly flow that limited cloud cover and allowed modest daytime warming. This measurement, taken at the standard 2-meter height per World Meteorological Organization protocols, aligns with the market’s near-100% consensus on the 27°C outcome and sits slightly above the city’s mid-May climatological average of 22–24°C. Ensemble model runs from ECMWF and CPTEC had projected values near this threshold, with minimal spread once the frontal boundary remained offshore. Only an unanticipated late-day heat burst or station-specific microclimate anomaly could have altered the official reading, scenarios now ruled out by post-event verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月16日圣保罗的最高温度？
5月16日圣保罗的最高温度？
27°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$86,909 交易量
$86,909 交易量
2026-05-16
19°C或以下
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
是
28℃
否
29°C或更高
否
27°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$86,909 交易量
$86,909 交易量
2026-05-16
19°C或以下
$4,478 交易量
否
20°C
$5,143 交易量
否
21°C
$7,674 交易量
否
22°C
$7,527 交易量
否
23°C
$6,791 交易量
否
24°C
$7,231 交易量
否
25°C
$10,621 交易量
否
26°C
$9,699 交易量
否
27°C
$8,326 交易量
是
28℃
$8,398 交易量
否
29°C或更高
$11,022 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport and Brazil’s INMET network recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 16 under typical autumn subsidence and light easterly flow that limited cloud cover and allowed modest daytime warming. This measurement, taken at the standard 2-meter height per World Meteorological Organization protocols, aligns with the market’s near-100% consensus on the 27°C outcome and sits slightly above the city’s mid-May climatological average of 22–24°C. Ensemble model runs from ECMWF and CPTEC had projected values near this threshold, with minimal spread once the frontal boundary remained offshore. Only an unanticipated late-day heat burst or station-specific microclimate anomaly could have altered the official reading, scenarios now ruled out by post-event verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$86,909结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport and Brazil’s INMET network recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 16 under typical autumn subsidence and light easterly flow that limited cloud cover and allowed modest daytime warming. This measurement, taken at the standard 2-meter height per World Meteorological Organization protocols, aligns with the market’s near-100% consensus on the 27°C outcome and sits slightly above the city’s mid-May climatological average of 22–24°C. Ensemble model runs from ECMWF and CPTEC had projected values near this threshold, with minimal spread once the frontal boundary remained offshore. Only an unanticipated late-day heat burst or station-specific microclimate anomaly could have altered the official reading, scenarios now ruled out by post-event verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$86,909结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official observations from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport and Brazil’s INMET network recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 16 under typical autumn subsidence and light easterly flow that limited cloud cover and allowed modest daytime warming. This measurement, taken at the standard 2-meter height per World Meteorological Organization protocols, aligns with the market’s near-100% consensus on the 27°C outcome and sits slightly above the city’s mid-May climatological average of 22–24°C. Ensemble model runs from ECMWF and CPTEC had projected values near this threshold, with minimal spread once the frontal boundary remained offshore. Only an unanticipated late-day heat burst or station-specific microclimate anomaly could have altered the official reading, scenarios now ruled out by post-event verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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