Recent forecast updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime maximum of 25°C in Seoul on May 17, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and moderate southerly flow that limit both heating and cooling extremes. This consensus aligns with ensemble model runs showing limited variability in surface temperatures, placing the outcome well within the typical mid-May climatological range of 23–27°C for the region. While the market-implied odds reflect strong trader agreement backed by real capital, a sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger northerly winds, or delayed onset of daytime heating could shift the observed high by 1–2°C and alter the resolution. Updated KMA briefings and real-time observations through the afternoon remain the key data points for any final adjustments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日首尔气温最高？
5月17日首尔气温最高？
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$226,976 交易量
$226,976 交易量
2026-05-17
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$226,976 交易量
$226,976 交易量
2026-05-17
16°C or below
$7,774 交易量
<1%
17°C
$6,507 交易量
<1%
18°C
$9,963 交易量
<1%
19°C
$10,868 交易量
<1%
20°C
$15,133 交易量
<1%
21°C
$22,532 交易量
<1%
22°C
$28,364 交易量
<1%
23°C
$28,287 交易量
<1%
24°C
$23,626 交易量
<1%
25°C
$26,189 交易量
100%
26°C or higher
$47,734 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime maximum of 25°C in Seoul on May 17, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and moderate southerly flow that limit both heating and cooling extremes. This consensus aligns with ensemble model runs showing limited variability in surface temperatures, placing the outcome well within the typical mid-May climatological range of 23–27°C for the region. While the market-implied odds reflect strong trader agreement backed by real capital, a sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger northerly winds, or delayed onset of daytime heating could shift the observed high by 1–2°C and alter the resolution. Updated KMA briefings and real-time observations through the afternoon remain the key data points for any final adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$226,976结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime maximum of 25°C in Seoul on May 17, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and moderate southerly flow that limit both heating and cooling extremes. This consensus aligns with ensemble model runs showing limited variability in surface temperatures, placing the outcome well within the typical mid-May climatological range of 23–27°C for the region. While the market-implied odds reflect strong trader agreement backed by real capital, a sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger northerly winds, or delayed onset of daytime heating could shift the observed high by 1–2°C and alter the resolution. Updated KMA briefings and real-time observations through the afternoon remain the key data points for any final adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$226,976结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent forecast updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daytime maximum of 25°C in Seoul on May 17, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and moderate southerly flow that limit both heating and cooling extremes. This consensus aligns with ensemble model runs showing limited variability in surface temperatures, placing the outcome well within the typical mid-May climatological range of 23–27°C for the region. While the market-implied odds reflect strong trader agreement backed by real capital, a sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger northerly winds, or delayed onset of daytime heating could shift the observed high by 1–2°C and alter the resolution. Updated KMA briefings and real-time observations through the afternoon remain the key data points for any final adjustments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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