Trader consensus centers on a daily maximum of 25°C in Seoul today, driven by official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts showing clear to partly cloudy skies under a stable high-pressure ridge with light southerly winds. These conditions support gradual daytime warming from overnight lows near 15°C, consistent with mid-May climatology where historical averages reach 23–25°C. Model agreement remains high across ensemble runs, though minor shifts in insolation or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the peak by one degree before evening verification. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow uncertainty range, with resolution hinging on the final official observation reported by the national weather service.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日首尔气温最高？
5月17日首尔气温最高？
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$227,008 交易量
$227,008 交易量
2026-05-17
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$227,008 交易量
$227,008 交易量
2026-05-17
16°C or below
$7,774 交易量
<1%
17°C
$6,507 交易量
<1%
18°C
$9,963 交易量
<1%
19°C
$10,868 交易量
<1%
20°C
$15,133 交易量
<1%
21°C
$22,532 交易量
<1%
22°C
$28,364 交易量
<1%
23°C
$28,287 交易量
<1%
24°C
$23,626 交易量
<1%
25°C
$26,194 交易量
100%
26°C or higher
$47,760 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus centers on a daily maximum of 25°C in Seoul today, driven by official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts showing clear to partly cloudy skies under a stable high-pressure ridge with light southerly winds. These conditions support gradual daytime warming from overnight lows near 15°C, consistent with mid-May climatology where historical averages reach 23–25°C. Model agreement remains high across ensemble runs, though minor shifts in insolation or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the peak by one degree before evening verification. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow uncertainty range, with resolution hinging on the final official observation reported by the national weather service.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$227,008结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus centers on a daily maximum of 25°C in Seoul today, driven by official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts showing clear to partly cloudy skies under a stable high-pressure ridge with light southerly winds. These conditions support gradual daytime warming from overnight lows near 15°C, consistent with mid-May climatology where historical averages reach 23–25°C. Model agreement remains high across ensemble runs, though minor shifts in insolation or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the peak by one degree before evening verification. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow uncertainty range, with resolution hinging on the final official observation reported by the national weather service.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$227,008结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETTrader consensus centers on a daily maximum of 25°C in Seoul today, driven by official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts showing clear to partly cloudy skies under a stable high-pressure ridge with light southerly winds. These conditions support gradual daytime warming from overnight lows near 15°C, consistent with mid-May climatology where historical averages reach 23–25°C. Model agreement remains high across ensemble runs, though minor shifts in insolation or boundary-layer mixing could nudge the peak by one degree before evening verification. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow uncertainty range, with resolution hinging on the final official observation reported by the national weather service.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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