Recent forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration has converged on a precise daytime maximum of 25 °C for Seoul on May 17 under a stable high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies, light winds, and limited moisture advection. This consensus aligns with current observational trends and historical May climatology for the region, where similar synoptic setups routinely produce highs within one degree of model projections. Trader positioning at 100 % for the 25 °C outcome reflects strong confidence in these verified data streams, though modest shifts in afternoon cloud cover or local station microclimate could still produce a final reading one degree higher or lower before official closure.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日首尔气温最高?
25°C 100.0%
26°C or higher <1%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
$230,953 交易量
$230,953 交易量
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
26°C or higher <1%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
$230,953 交易量
$230,953 交易量
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration has converged on a precise daytime maximum of 25 °C for Seoul on May 17 under a stable high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies, light winds, and limited moisture advection. This consensus aligns with current observational trends and historical May climatology for the region, where similar synoptic setups routinely produce highs within one degree of model projections. Trader positioning at 100 % for the 25 °C outcome reflects strong confidence in these verified data streams, though modest shifts in afternoon cloud cover or local station microclimate could still produce a final reading one degree higher or lower before official closure.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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