Recent forecast updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlight a southerly flow of warmer, moist air over the Korean Peninsula, positioning Seoul for afternoon highs in the mid-20s Celsius on May 18. Ensemble guidance from global models reinforces this outlook under partly cloudy skies, consistent with mid-May climatology yet elevated by above-average Yellow Sea sea-surface temperatures. This scientific consensus aligns with the 71.5% market-implied probability for a high of 25°C or above, while cooler outcomes remain possible if cloud cover increases or winds shift. Traders will monitor the next KMA short-range revision and any model adjustments for potential shifts in these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月18日首尔气温最高？
5月18日首尔气温最高？
25°C or higher 73%
24°C 22%
23°C 5%
22°C <1%
最新
$69,594 交易量
最新
$69,594 交易量
2026-05-18
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
22%
25°C or higher
73%
25°C or higher 73%
24°C 22%
23°C 5%
22°C <1%
最新
$69,594 交易量
最新
$69,594 交易量
2026-05-18
15°C or below
$12,409 交易量
<1%
16°C
$5,911 交易量
<1%
17°C
$5,706 交易量
<1%
18°C
$3,767 交易量
<1%
19°C
$4,356 交易量
<1%
20°C
$3,425 交易量
<1%
21°C
$8,460 交易量
<1%
22°C
$6,698 交易量
1%
23°C
$6,160 交易量
5%
24°C
$3,254 交易量
22%
25°C or higher
$9,451 交易量
73%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlight a southerly flow of warmer, moist air over the Korean Peninsula, positioning Seoul for afternoon highs in the mid-20s Celsius on May 18. Ensemble guidance from global models reinforces this outlook under partly cloudy skies, consistent with mid-May climatology yet elevated by above-average Yellow Sea sea-surface temperatures. This scientific consensus aligns with the 71.5% market-implied probability for a high of 25°C or above, while cooler outcomes remain possible if cloud cover increases or winds shift. Traders will monitor the next KMA short-range revision and any model adjustments for potential shifts in these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$69,594结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlight a southerly flow of warmer, moist air over the Korean Peninsula, positioning Seoul for afternoon highs in the mid-20s Celsius on May 18. Ensemble guidance from global models reinforces this outlook under partly cloudy skies, consistent with mid-May climatology yet elevated by above-average Yellow Sea sea-surface temperatures. This scientific consensus aligns with the 71.5% market-implied probability for a high of 25°C or above, while cooler outcomes remain possible if cloud cover increases or winds shift. Traders will monitor the next KMA short-range revision and any model adjustments for potential shifts in these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$69,594结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent forecast updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlight a southerly flow of warmer, moist air over the Korean Peninsula, positioning Seoul for afternoon highs in the mid-20s Celsius on May 18. Ensemble guidance from global models reinforces this outlook under partly cloudy skies, consistent with mid-May climatology yet elevated by above-average Yellow Sea sea-surface temperatures. This scientific consensus aligns with the 71.5% market-implied probability for a high of 25°C or above, while cooler outcomes remain possible if cloud cover increases or winds shift. Traders will monitor the next KMA short-range revision and any model adjustments for potential shifts in these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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