Current forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles converge on a daily maximum of 26–28°C for Shanghai on May 18 under a subtropical high-pressure ridge with light easterly flow and moderate humidity levels that limit rapid warming. This synoptic setup aligns with mid-May climatological norms, where average highs typically range from 24–26°C, positioning the 27°C outcome as the market's leading choice at 36.5% implied probability. Recent observational data from regional stations show no significant deviations from these projections, though minor model spread on boundary-layer mixing could still shift the exact peak by one degree. Traders are closely monitoring the next high-resolution update cycle for any adjustments ahead of the midday resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月18日上海气温最高？
5月18日上海气温最高？
27°C 36%
26°C 26%
28°C 24%
29°C 10%
最新
$29,822 交易量
最新
$29,822 交易量
2026-05-18
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
8%
26°C
26%
27°C
36%
28°C
24%
29°C
10%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 36%
26°C 26%
28°C 24%
29°C 10%
最新
$29,822 交易量
最新
$29,822 交易量
2026-05-18
21°C or below
$869 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,052 交易量
<1%
23°C
$3,788 交易量
<1%
24°C
$4,286 交易量
2%
25°C
$3,777 交易量
8%
26°C
$3,483 交易量
26%
27°C
$2,226 交易量
36%
28°C
$1,929 交易量
24%
29°C
$2,903 交易量
10%
30°C
$2,639 交易量
1%
31°C or higher
$3,076 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles converge on a daily maximum of 26–28°C for Shanghai on May 18 under a subtropical high-pressure ridge with light easterly flow and moderate humidity levels that limit rapid warming. This synoptic setup aligns with mid-May climatological norms, where average highs typically range from 24–26°C, positioning the 27°C outcome as the market's leading choice at 36.5% implied probability. Recent observational data from regional stations show no significant deviations from these projections, though minor model spread on boundary-layer mixing could still shift the exact peak by one degree. Traders are closely monitoring the next high-resolution update cycle for any adjustments ahead of the midday resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$29,822结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles converge on a daily maximum of 26–28°C for Shanghai on May 18 under a subtropical high-pressure ridge with light easterly flow and moderate humidity levels that limit rapid warming. This synoptic setup aligns with mid-May climatological norms, where average highs typically range from 24–26°C, positioning the 27°C outcome as the market's leading choice at 36.5% implied probability. Recent observational data from regional stations show no significant deviations from these projections, though minor model spread on boundary-layer mixing could still shift the exact peak by one degree. Traders are closely monitoring the next high-resolution update cycle for any adjustments ahead of the midday resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$29,822结束日期
2026-05-18市场开放时间
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETCurrent forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles converge on a daily maximum of 26–28°C for Shanghai on May 18 under a subtropical high-pressure ridge with light easterly flow and moderate humidity levels that limit rapid warming. This synoptic setup aligns with mid-May climatological norms, where average highs typically range from 24–26°C, positioning the 27°C outcome as the market's leading choice at 36.5% implied probability. Recent observational data from regional stations show no significant deviations from these projections, though minor model spread on boundary-layer mixing could still shift the exact peak by one degree. Traders are closely monitoring the next high-resolution update cycle for any adjustments ahead of the midday resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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