Weather model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensembles has converged on a daytime maximum of 27°C for Shenzhen today, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for that outcome. Persistent high pressure, light winds, and scattered cloud cover are moderating daytime heating in line with typical subtropical spring patterns, where May highs average 26–28°C. Official observations at Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport will determine resolution, though localized urban heat effects or slight forecast revisions could still produce a 1°C deviation in either direction. Traders appear to have incorporated the latest ensemble runs showing low variability, leaving little room for alternative temperature thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日深圳气温最高？
5月17日深圳气温最高？
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$50,999 交易量
$50,999 交易量
2026-05-17
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$50,999 交易量
$50,999 交易量
2026-05-17
21°C or below
$1,761 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,788 交易量
<1%
23°C
$2,875 交易量
<1%
24°C
$5,998 交易量
<1%
25°C
$2,854 交易量
<1%
26°C
$5,483 交易量
<1%
27°C
$12,293 交易量
100%
28°C
$5,783 交易量
<1%
29°C
$4,837 交易量
<1%
30°C
$2,286 交易量
<1%
31°C or higher
$5,040 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Weather model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensembles has converged on a daytime maximum of 27°C for Shenzhen today, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for that outcome. Persistent high pressure, light winds, and scattered cloud cover are moderating daytime heating in line with typical subtropical spring patterns, where May highs average 26–28°C. Official observations at Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport will determine resolution, though localized urban heat effects or slight forecast revisions could still produce a 1°C deviation in either direction. Traders appear to have incorporated the latest ensemble runs showing low variability, leaving little room for alternative temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$50,999结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Weather model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensembles has converged on a daytime maximum of 27°C for Shenzhen today, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for that outcome. Persistent high pressure, light winds, and scattered cloud cover are moderating daytime heating in line with typical subtropical spring patterns, where May highs average 26–28°C. Official observations at Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport will determine resolution, though localized urban heat effects or slight forecast revisions could still produce a 1°C deviation in either direction. Traders appear to have incorporated the latest ensemble runs showing low variability, leaving little room for alternative temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$50,999结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETWeather model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensembles has converged on a daytime maximum of 27°C for Shenzhen today, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for that outcome. Persistent high pressure, light winds, and scattered cloud cover are moderating daytime heating in line with typical subtropical spring patterns, where May highs average 26–28°C. Official observations at Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport will determine resolution, though localized urban heat effects or slight forecast revisions could still produce a 1°C deviation in either direction. Traders appear to have incorporated the latest ensemble runs showing low variability, leaving little room for alternative temperature thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题